SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
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Nepal: Fatalities
in Major Clashes between Security Forces and Maoist Insurgents,
|
Date
|
Civilians
|
Security
Forces
|
Maoist
Insurgents
|
Place
|
2001 |
|
|
|
|
November 23 |
|
37
|
|
Putalibazzar, Syangjha district. |
November 24 |
|
14
|
|
Ghorai Army barracks |
November 25 |
|
34
|
200
|
Salleri |
November 28-29 |
|
|
70
|
Salyan district |
December 1-2 |
|
|
200
|
Solokhumbu district |
December 8-9 |
|
4
|
50
|
Ratmate Army formation, Rolpa district |
2002 |
|
|
|
|
January 27 |
|
|
21
|
Sankranti Bazaar, Terhathum district |
February 4 |
|
16
|
1
|
Bhakundebeshi police station, Kavre district |
February 16 |
4
|
98
|
41
|
Sanphebagar airport, Accham district; Army barracks, Mangelsen town |
February 20 |
|
|
46
|
Acham, Doti, Kailali and Dailekh districts |
February 21 |
|
33
|
4
|
Sitalpati police station, Salyan district |
February 21 |
|
|
37
|
Surkhet district |
February 23 |
|
|
67
|
Kalikot district |
March 13 |
|
6
|
|
Sanghachowk, 40km away from capital Kathmandu |
March 17 |
|
|
69
|
Insurgents' training camp, Gumsa, Rolpa district |
March 25 |
|
|
13
|
Rolpa |
April 7 |
|
|
13
|
Kothiyaghat jungles, Bardia |
April 11 |
|
84
|
150
|
Satbaria and Lamahi police outposts, Dang |
April 14 |
|
|
17
|
Dang-Pyuthan border |
April 27 |
|
|
18
|
Khotang |
May 2 |
|
|
32
|
Dhagal, Dang-Kailali districts border |
May 2-5 |
|
4
|
548
|
Maoist training camp, Lisne jungles |
May 7-8 |
|
70
|
150
|
Security force base camp, Gam village, Rolpa |
May 27 |
|
5
|
188
|
Security force base camp, Khara, Rukum district |
June 12 |
|
4
|
51
|
Damachour, Salyan district |
August 20 |
|
1
|
30
|
Thawang village, Rolpa |
September 7 |
|
49
|
50
|
Bhiman police post, Sindhuli district |
September 8 |
25
|
68
|
267
|
Sandhikharka, Argakanchi district |
September 23 |
|
3
|
74
|
Rolpa |
October 27 |
|
2
|
32
|
Rumjatar airport and district police office, Okhaldunga district |
November 14 |
3
|
37
|
55
|
Jumla district |
November 14 |
|
23
|
63
|
Gorkha district |
Compiled from official sources and the English language media in Nepal
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NEPAL
|
Democracy
Recedes Amidst Slaughters
Guest Writer:
Deepak Thapa
Kathmandu-based Journalist and Editor
On the night
of November 14, Nepal's Maoist
guerillas struck in force once again, this time in simultaneous
attacks on an isolated police outpost in Gorkha district,
west of Kathmandu, and a full-scale attack on Khalanga, the
district headquarters of Jumla near the tri-junction of Nepal,
China and India in the remote northwestern zone of Karnali.
The twin attacks left at least 70 people dead, including 61
security force personnel. Casualties on the rebel side are
reported to have run into the hundreds. The attack killed
the chief district officer of Jumla, the top civil servant
of the district, and two deputy superintendents of police.
The Khalanga assault was the fourth one on a district headquarters,
and comes two years after the Maoists overran the headquarters
of a neighbouring district. Both districts lie to the north
of the Maoist stronghold in the hills of western Nepal.
Unlike the earlier attacks, the company-strength army post
stationed there was able to ward off a total rout. However,
the Maoists managed to destroy the airport, set fire to all
the government buildings and make off with a substantial amount
of cash and jewellery looted from the local bank and ordinary
citizens.
The attacks came a day after a three-day countrywide shutdown
called by the Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist). On the concluding
day of the strike, the Maoist leadership had claimed in a
statement that the 'success' of the strike had shown that
the people were with them and reiterated their three key demands
- a roundtable conference of all political forces, an interim
government and elections to a constituent assembly. The statement
had warned that unless there were some positive moves to find
a political solution, they would continue with their movement,
including 'people's resistance'.
The call for the November 11-13 strike had originally been
planned to disrupt the parliamentary elections originally
scheduled for November 13. The sacking of Prime Minister,
Sher Bahadur Deuba, and assumption of executive authority
by King Gyanendra on October 4 had postponed the polls indefinitely.
But the Maoists, who described the king's action as a 'retrogressive
step', went ahead with it anyway, calling it the beginning
of a 'united people's resistance campaign' against the king.
The new government, headed by royal-appointee Lokendra Bahadur
Chand, is still facing a crisis of political acceptance. The
manner in which the government was constituted by the king
on October 11 has come under considerable flak from constitutional
experts. On the eve of the 12th anniversary of the 1990 Constitution
on November 9, a group of eight well-known public figures,
including three members of the Constitution Drafting Committee,
questioned the present government's legitimacy. Their joint
statement asked either for the reinstatement of the parliament
dissolved earlier in May, or a resort to 'interim arrangements'
that would restore the paramountcy of the people's sovereign
rights. The 'interim arrangements', they said, should also
include the Maoists.
For its part, the government has maintained that it has opened
the doors for talks, and has even authorised a committee of
human rights activists to make contact with the rebels on
its behalf. But the Maoists too have questioned the government's
legal status and have indicated that any negotiations would
have to have the king's participation. A statement on October
24 from the Communist Party of Nepal - Maoist (CPN-M) chairman,
Pushpa Kamal Dahal 'Prachanda', called for a 'political exit'
to the present impasse through a dialogue among all political
forces, including the king, and for which the king would have
to initiate the first steps. That statement was remarkable
for the absence of anti-monarchy rhetoric and was viewed as
a possible opening for talks. But, two weeks later came the
dampener, as the Maoists resumed their previous stance on
the monarchy. The convener of what is known to be the Maoists'
central government, the United People's Revolutionary Council,
Baburam Bhattarai, appealed to all parliamentary and non-parliamentary
forces in a broad united front against the 'feudal monarchy'.
The country's two major political parties, the Nepali Congress
and the Communist Party of Nepal - Unified Marxist-Leninist
(CPN-UML)) have so far steered clear of joining the government
despite exhortations from the Prime Minister. The two parties
are agreed on the unconstitutionality of the king's October
4 action, but differ on how it can be 'rectified'. The Nepali
Congress wants the parliament reinstated, which would put
it in a strong position to form the government again, while
the CPN-UML, which was the main opposition in parliament,
prefers the king to hand over the executive power to the cabinet
as a prelude to their entering the Chand cabinet. Leaders
of the two parties are known to have restated their positions
to King Gyanendra, who has begun a series of consultations
with leaders of political parties to seek a way out of the
present political crisis.
Apart from this difference both parties agree on the need
to bring the Maoist issue to a close through peace talks.
That is a view that is increasingly gaining acceptance. The
army has been out for almost a year now, but it does not seem
to have made a significant dent in the Maoists' military capability.
The rebels have certainly received setbacks, most recently
in a late October attack on an army contingent guarding an
airport in eastern Nepal. But although the army continues
to notch up an average of 10 'Maoists' a day, given factors
like the terrain, the small numbers the Army can mobilise
on the ground, lack of local support and the widespread nature
of rebel operations, the military does not seem likely to
achieve a significant victory any time soon.
The Maoists too have said that they are ready for a dialogue
if the government is committed to a political solution. On
the day of the simultaneous attacks in Gorkha and Jumla, Krishna
Bahadur Mahara, a top Maoist leader and known hardliner, speaking
in an interview broadcast over CNN, blamed the government
for the present standoff. He said that the rebels were ready
to declare a ceasefire if there were positive indications.
Otherwise, however, he warned ominously, 'this war will be
a historical and decisive one'.
|
SRI
LANKA
|
Peace
Negotiations: Accommodating Muslim Fears
Guest Writer: G.H. Peiris
Senior Professor, University of Peradeniya, Sri Lanka, and
Senior Fellow, International Centre for Ethnic Studies.
Since the
commencement in last December of attempts to resolve Sri
Lanka's ethnic conflict through peaceful means, Sri Lankan
Muslims have assumed an important 'third party' role in
the related political processes, including the formal negotiations
that began in September 2002 between the Government of Sri
Lanka and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE).
Muslims account for about seven per cent of Sri Lanka's
total population. About 30 per cent of their total number
lives in large clusters falling within the Eastern Province.
The others constitute small communities scattered throughout
the country with the exception of the northern areas.
Rauff Hakeem, leader of the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress (SLMC),
was one of the main government delegates at the two negotiation
sessions hitherto conducted, but political spokespersons
for the Muslims, including those of the SLMC, have made
it clear that their support to the peace process was conditional
on adequate attention being devoted by both the government
and the LTTE to the needs and aspirations of the Muslims,
especially those from the northern and eastern parts of
the island that are claimed by the LTTE as the 'Traditional
Homeland' of the Tamils.
The stand taken by the Muslim spokespersons in the current
peace process is distinctive as compared to the experiences
of previous spells of negotiation (in 1985, 1989-90 and
1994-95). The earlier negotiations focused exclusively on
contentious issues between the Sinhalese and the Tamils,
with hardly any reference to the interests of the Muslims
and with the leaders of the Muslim community opting to maintain
a low profile.
The principal demand of the Eastern Province Muslims, articulated
mainly through the SLMC, is that any compromise worked out
to meet the LTTE claim for autonomy to the entire 'north-east'
as a single unit, either in an interim administration or
as a permanent constitutional reform, for devolution of
government power should be accompanied by an arrangement
facilitating self-government for those inhabiting the main
Muslim areas in that part of the country. Since the demand
is being backed by a boycott of parliament by nine Muslim
Members of Parliament (MPs), all of who are members of the
United National Front government, it has created an unforeseen
dilemma for the government. This stems, on the one hand,
from the government's existing (implicit) commitment to
the principle of an LTTE-dominated interim administration
for the entirety of the 'north-east'; and, on the other,
from the fact that, in the event of the dissident Muslim
MPs leaving the ranks of the ruling coalition on this issue,
they could precipitate a major change in the parliamentary
balance of power and, possibly, a collapse of the government.
Two sets of considerations stand out most prominently as
explanations for the circumspection and the assertiveness
displayed by the Muslim leaders in relation to the on-going
negotiations. The first of these relates to the nature of
Tamil-Muslim relations in the 'north-east', particularly
in the Eastern Province. The second stems from cleavages
within the SLMC.
The coastal lowlands of the Eastern Province have hardly
ever been entirely free of localised friction between the
Tamils and the Muslims constituting, in their aggregate
numbers, 42 per cent and 35 per cent, respectively, of the
total population of the province. These, it must be remembered,
are areas of excessively high population density, in which
residential loci of one community are juxtaposed with those
of the other in an intricate and closely entwined micro-spatial
mosaic. The eastern lowlands are also characterised by resource
scarcity, agrarian unrest, and poverty, and hence, frequent
interpersonal disputes with communal undertones.
This was the demographic and socio-economic setting in which
several Tamil militant groups began to build a support base
among those of their own community in the early 1980s. At
that stage, evidently in response to harassment by the Tamil
militants, the Muslims of their larger communities also
attempted to form armed groups, and did achieve some success
in their attempt. Thus, for example, in the Allai area (south
of Trincomalee harbour), an armed group, which called itself
the 'Jihad Movement', is said to have gathered a small but
ardent following. Again, in coastal Ampara (southern parts
of the Eastern Province), a movement referred to as 'Al
Fatah' mobilised some support among Muslim youth. These,
however, soon succumbed under the weight of the overwhelmingly
more powerful Tamil militants.
Following the India-Sri
Lanka Accord of 1987, the SLMC (which, by that
time, had emerged as the foremost political party in the
Eastern Province) decided to abide by the Accord and to
collaborate with the Indian Peace-Keeping Force (IPKF) in
its attempts to restore normalcy in the 'north-east'. Observers
believe that it was at this point that the LTTE turned its
wrath in earnest against the Muslims in this part of the
country.
Following the withdrawal of the IPKF from Sri Lanka in the
early months of 1990 and the concurrent emergence of the
LTTE as the most powerful among the separatist groups, Muslim
communities in the Eastern Province became the target of
large-scale LTTE attacks. These evidently represented an
attempt at 'ethnic cleansing' of the 'Traditional Tamil
Homeland'. Several gruesome massacres of Muslim civilians,
each involving death tolls exceeding a hundred, were carried
out by LTTE cadres, resulting in mass evacuation of certain
localities by the Muslims. By January 1991, about 350,000
Muslims had been displaced from their villages and towns
of the Eastern Province. In October 1990, the LTTE also
evicted en masse all Muslims (total number estimated at
about 70,000) from the Northern Province. Though the policy
of 'ethnic cleansing' appears to have been abandoned since
that time, LTTE attacks sporadically targeted the Muslims,
mainly for their suspected collaboration with armed forces
of the government, throughout the 1990s.
The experience in the Eastern Province, since the commencement
of current negotiations, has not allayed Muslim fears. Throughout,
there have been clashes between the LTTE cadres and Muslim
civilians, triggered off mainly by Muslim resistance to
extortion. Among the major confrontations this year, each
of which lasted over several days, were those at Muttur
in February; Valachennai in June; and Akkaraipatu in October.
In the Northern Province, the LTTE has continued to resist
the return of Muslims who were evicted in 1990. Current
media reports indicate that LTTE extortion (now being referred
to as 'taxation') in the east has acquired an increased
intensity, and that the LTTE network of 'police stations',
initiated in early 2002, has now been extended to the east
in the face of Muslim protests.
In the longer term, Muslim fears of becoming a beleaguered
minority in the entire country have been reinforced by several
brief localised Sinhalese-Muslim clashes of the recent past
- in the township of Mawanella in May 2001; and in northern
Colombo in October 2002. There is, in addition, the long-standing
dispute in the interior of the Eastern Province concerning
an alleged encroachment by the Muslims of land belonging
to an ancient Buddhist temple.
The boycott of Parliament by nine Muslim members from the
east ended on November 14, 2002, following a formal assurance
by Prime Minister Wickremasinghe to accord priority to their
main demands. On the eve of their return to Parliament,
however, their spokesperson Anwer Ismail, ruled out any
possibility of cohabitation between the Muslims and the
Tamils under an LTTE-led interim administration in the 'north-east'.
The vehemence of the Muslim agitation for self-government
in their main population clusters of the Eastern Province
could also be attributed in part to the factional cleavages
within the SLMC. Rauff Hakeem's grip on his party, it should
be noted, is much weaker than that of his predecessor, the
late M.H.M. Ashraff. In this context it is necessary to
recapitulate that:
Under the circumstances, it is not clear how the clashing aspirations and apprehensions of Sri Lanka's Muslims will be reconciled within the present negotiation process that seeks to bring peace to the fractured island nation.
NEWS BRIEFS
|
|
Security
Force Personnel
|
Civilian
|
Terrorist
|
Total
|
INDIA |
9
|
10
|
48
|
67
|
Assam |
0
|
1
|
5
|
6
|
Jammu & Kashmir |
9
|
9
|
25
|
43
|
Left-wing Extremism |
0
|
0
|
15
|
15
|
Manipur |
0
|
0
|
3
|
3
|
NEPAL |
65
|
18
|
255
|
338
|
PAKISTAN |
0
|
3
|
0
|
3
|
Provisional data compiled
from English language media sources.
|
Government to probe India's charges on terrorist camps: Foreign Secretary Shamsher Mobin Chowdhury told the media on November 14, 2002, that the Bangladesh government has decided to probe India's claims that terrorist groups based in its Northeastern States are securing shelter and support in Bangladesh. Daily Star News, November 15, 2002
All political
prisoners to be released, says J&K Chief Minister Sayeed:
Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) Chief Minister Mufti Mohammed Sayeed said
in Srinagar on November 13, 2002, that the State government would
not give up the process of releasing all political prisoners in
order to create a conducive atmosphere for dialogue. According
to him, "It is a matter of our policy and common minimum programme
to release all the political prisoners in the State. We are bound
to implement the policy. We have initiated the process and it
will go on." Daily
Excelsior, November 14, 2002.
Eight SF personnel killed in IED blast in J&K: Eight security
force (SF) personnel were killed and six others injured when unidentified
terrorists blasted a bus with a remote-controlled Improvised Explosive
Device (IED) near Banihal on the Jammu-Srinagar national highway
in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K), on November 11, 2002. According to
official sources, Road Opening Parties (ROPs) are frequently pressed
into service on the highway, especially in the terrorism-prone
area of the 41-km stretch between Banihal and Ramban. Sources
added that the IED was planted after the ROP passed by and was
detonated from a nearby area. Daily
Excelsior, November 12, 2002.
JKLF chief released by J&K government: Jammu and Kashmir
Liberation Front (JKLF) chairman Yasin Malik was released on November
11, 2002, by the J&K government after eight months in detention.
Malik was released from the high security Kot Balwal Jail in Jammu
after a court granted him parole. Malik, an Executive Committee
member of the separatist All Parties Hurriyat Conference (APHC),
was arrested on March 25 under the Prevention of Terrorism Act
2002 (POTA). He was later released in July but was immediately
re-arrested under the Public Safety Act that provides for detention
for two years without trial. Daily
Excelsior, November 12, 2002.
Seven left wing extremists killed in Andhra Pradesh: Seven
left wing extremists -- Naxalites of the Communist Party of India-Marxist
Leninist (CPI-ML) Janashakti (Veeranna) faction -- were killed
during an encounter with the police in the Lenkalagadda village,
Karimnagar district, in the State of Andhra Pradesh on November
11, 2002. Official sources said that the encounter ensued after
a special police party spotted a 15-member Naxal dalam (squad)
armed with sophisticated weapons near the village. Deccan
Chronicle, November 12, 2002.
121 Maoist insurgents, 60 SF personnel confirmed dead in clashes in Jumla and Gorkha: Intense clashes were reported between the security forces and Maoist insurgents in Jumla and Gorkha, on November 14, 2002. Maoists, numbering into several hundreds, reportedly attacked the Jumla airport and later two police establishments and other government offices at the district headquarters. Chief District Officer of Jumla, Damodar Pant, and two civilians died in the assault, reports added. 71 insurgents were confirmed dead and, reportedly, 300 more are feared dead. 33 police personnel, too, were killed in these clashes. In the clashes in Gorkha, 23 police personnel and at least 66 Maoist insurgents have been confirmed killed. Nepal News, November 15, 2002.
Anti-terrorism
law amended: The Federal government has amended the anti-terrorism
law allowing the police to detain terror suspects for up to a
year without charges. The amendment ordinance was reportedly approved
by the Federal Cabinet in October but was formally issued on November
17, 2002, and has come into effect immediately. The amended law
empowers the government to order the arrest of a suspect and extend
the detention period from time to time without charging the suspect
"for a total period not exceeding 12 months." Hitherto, security
agencies could detain terror suspects for up to three months without
filing any charges. Under the amended law, security agencies have
been authorized to probe the assets and bank accounts of their
spouses, children and parents. Further, even after release on
bail, the suspects would be prohibited from visiting public places
such as movie halls, airports, parks, train stations or hotels.
Suspects have been given the right to challenge their detention
in court, which would then have to decide on the matter within
30 days. Jang,
November 18, 2002.
US executes Aimal Kasi for 1993-killing of CIA employees:
Pakistani terrorist Mir Aimal Kasi, convicted for the 1993 killing
of two Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) employees in front of
the agency's headquarters in Langley, Virginia, was executed at
the Virginia state prison on November 14, 2002. Earlier, Virginia
Governor Mark Warner refused Kasi's request for clemency after
the US Supreme Court denied a last-minute appeal for a stay on
the execution. Kasi's family and the Pakistani government had
asked for his sentence to be commuted on humanitarian grounds.
Jang,
November 15, 2002.
Premier Wickremasinghe
assures Muslims of security and protection of interests: Rebel
Members of Parliament (MP) of the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress gave
up the one and a half month-long boycott of Parliament on November
13, 2002, following an assurance by Prime Minister Ranil Wickremasinghe
on providing security to the Muslim community in the East and
safeguarding their interests. The Premier has promised to establish
a special body comprising all Muslim majority divisions in the
East in consultation with the rebel MPs. He added that Muslims
would have the freedom to determine their affairs without any
interference or hindrance. Daily
News, November 14, 2002.
The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region. SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal. |
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