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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 2, No. 3, August 4, 2003

Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal



ASSESSMENT

INDIA

Naxalite Consolidation in Orissa
Sanjay K. Jha
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

The recent incidents of left-wing extremist - referred to as 'Naxalite' - violence in the eastern Indian State of Orissa has once again highlighted the expansion and consolidation of extremist movement in the State. Ten security forces' (SF) personnel were killed and eight others were injured in a landmine blast triggered by the People's War Group (PWG) near Bhijengiwada village under the Kalimela police station-limits, Malkangiri district, on the Orissa-Andhra Pradesh border, on July 30. The incident occurred when the SF personnel were on a combing operation to flush out Naxalites during the 'martyrs' week,' observed every year by the PWG between July 28 and August 3, to commemorate Naxalites who had lost their lives in the protracted conflict. On the same day, alert Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) and State police personnel foiled an attempt by the Naxalites to attack the Motu police station in the same district. On August 1, Naxalites of the PWG killed a panchayat samiti (local body) member of the Teleraj panchayat, Kasa Madhi, again in the Malkangiri district.

These attacks have not only exposed the vulnerability of inter-State border districts to Naxalite violence, but also the lack of preparation on the part of the State Government to fight Left Wing extremism. In fact, even before the beginning of the 'martyrs' week', there were reports of an increase in Naxalite activities in Malkangiri, Rayagada and Koraput districts bordering Andhra Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Over the past few weeks, the Naxalites had held several meetings in these districts to mobilize tribals and plan future strategies. There were apprehensions that - as in the past - the Naxalites could attack Government properties and police stations to mark the occasion, and the Government had sounded a 'red alert' and launched combing operations in these districts. On July 23, the Police arrested 17 hardcore Naxalites in Rayagada and Malkangiri districts and recovered a huge quantity of explosives from their possession.

Over the years, Naxal groups such as the PWG and the Maoist Communist Centre (MCC) have established their presence in districts in Orissa that border Andhra Pradesh, Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh. While the PWG is active in the Malkangiri, Rayagada, Gajapati, Ganjam, Koraput and Nabrangpur districts bordering Andhra Pradesh, the MCC is steadily increasing its presence in Sundergarh, Mayurbhanj and Keonjhar districts bordering Jharkhand and West Bengal. A careful examination of the growth of the Naxalite movement in Orissa would demonstrate that, apart from internal factors such as underdevelopment, poor functioning of institutions of civil governance, the persistence of traditional structure of exploitations in rural and tribal areas, and an ill-equipped police force, growing Naxalite violence in the neighbouring States has influenced the course of events in Orissa.

The Naxalbari movement in the late 1960s had a significant impact on the neighbouring districts of Koraput and Ganjam on the Andhra Pradesh border and Mayurbhanj on the West Bengal border. A State Coordination Committee had been constituted on March 14, 1968, with D.B.M. Patnaik as its Convenor. In 1969, the Coordination Committee was dissolved and the different regions of the State were attached to the Naxalite organizations of the neighbouring States. Thus, the Koraput and Ganjam districts of South Orissa were put under the jurisdiction of the Srikakulam regional committee in Andhra Pradesh, while Mayurbhanj and Balasore districts of North Orissa were linked to the West Bengal coordination committee. The Sambhalpur and Sundergarh districts of North West Orissa were attached to the South Bihar committee.

Over the years, as the Naxalite groups intensified their activities in the neighbouring States, they increasingly began using territories in Orissa for hideouts, maintenance of training camps and the recruitment of tribals into their cadres. For some time now, Naxalite groups have been attempting to form a corridor of strongholds running through Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, Bihar and West Bengal, up to South Nepal. The expansion of Naxalite activities in Orissa intensified after the PWG formed the Andhra-Orissa Border Special Zonal Committee (AOBSZC) in 2001. The AOBSZC covers the four north coastal districts of Andhra Pradesh - East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam - and the five districts of southern Orissa mentioned above. After the formation of the AOBSZC, there has been a spurt in Naxalite activities in the bordering districts. The biggest ever strike of its kind in Orissa took place on August 9, 2001, when approximately 230 armed Naxalites of the PWG launched simultaneous attacks on Kalimela and Motu police stations in Malkangiri district. They killed six police personnel and injured approximately 22 others, and took away a huge quantity of arms and ammunition. Two Naxalite 'commanders' were also killed in the incident. Official sources disclose that, while 30 of the Naxalites were suspected to have come from the bordering East Godavari district of neighbouring Andhra Pradesh, the rest were local activists.

Since then, the Andhra-Orissa border areas have become increasingly vulnerable. On December 5, 2002, an estimated 18 police personnel belonging to the Orissa Special Armed Police (OSAP) were injured in a landmine blast triggered by the PWG near Kolnara on the Rayagada-Behrampur State highway. On November 26, 2002, Naxalites of the PWG killed the district secretary of the Biju Janata Dal (BJD), Jajati Sahu, in Naira village under Gunupur subdivision, Rayagada district. On September 25, 2002, Naxalites beat to death an activist of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at Malyamkunda village, bordering Chhattisgarh. On August 11, 2002, seven security force personnel were killed and another five injured in a landmine blast triggered by the PWG in the Gunupur sub-division of Rayagada district.

Similarly, there has been a spurt in Naxalite activities in the Orissa-Jharkhand border areas as well. In April 2003, Naxalites of the MCC looted approximately 550 kilograms of explosives in the Sundergarh district in Orissa and sneaked into the dense Saranda forests in the West Singhbum district of Jharkhand. The explosives were intended for the Steel Authority of India's Meghahatuburu mine in West Singhbhum. Earlier, the vulnerability of the Saranda forest area had come to light on December 20, 2002, when Naxalites laid an ambush on a Police convoy, killing 18 and injuring 20 at Bitkilsoya in the Manoharpur police station-limits. They also looted an unspecified quantity of arms and ammunition and set ablaze 11 vehicles in the convoy. On April 20, 2003, Naxalites of the MCC set three houses on fire in Karamapada village in Jharkhand, two and half kilometers from the Orissa border. In the last week of March 2003, a BJP worker was killed at Siding village in Jharkhand, about 6 km from Jareikela, Orissa.

In most of these districts, a host of local factors such as poverty and exploitation of the tribals, have given the PWG an opportunity to consolidate its base. Naxalite groups have made concerted efforts to sharpen the economic differences in the countryside, aggravating local problems and widening their recruitment base. In the month of December 2002, Naxalites of the PWG conducted a series of attacks on houses of rich farmers, Government godowns, private granaries and even Panchayat stocks, and looted approximately 1,000 quintals of rice. Later, the rice was reportedly redistributed among poor tribals. On December 16, 2002, PWG cadres looted approximately 100 quintals of rice from a Government godown in Malavaram village, Kalimela block, Malkangiri district. The PWG had also looted food grain from a godown in Koimetla village under the Kalimela police station limits in Malkangiri district on December 15, 2002. The Naxalite groups had been mobilizing local tribals against local Government officials, including police and forest department officials as also elected representatives, through their front organizations Chasi Mula Mukti Sangha and the Krushak-Mulia Mukti Sanhga in areas bordering Jharkhand as well. They had also launched a drive to recruit youngsters in the 15-19 age group.

To curb Naxalites activities, the State Government has relied more on concerted police action and joint combing operation with the Police Forces of neighbouring Andhra Pradesh and Jharkhand. Speaking in the State Legislative Assembly on March 27, 2003, Chief Minister Navin Patnaik claimed that the police had achieved 'unprecedented success' in destroying Naxalite hideouts and training camps in the State. He disclosed that, during the preceding year, one India Reserve (IR) battalion and Orissa State Armed Police (OSAP) battalions each had been raised to deal exclusively with Naxalite and extremist activities. Moreover, the police department had also launched a public contact campaign in the districts of Rayagada and Malkangiri districts to counter the anti-Government propaganda carried out by Naxalites. Surprisingly, the State Government is still to ban the PWG. In fact, after the July 30-landmine blast, the Orissa Police Havaldar and Constable Association had demanded the proscription of the group, and had threatened a boycott of duties in the Naxalite-affected belt unless the Government banned the outfit. Similarly, the Home Guards of the States have reportedly threatened to withdraw from anti-Naxal operations after August 15, 2003, if the Government did not provide them with adequate facilities and benefits. Speaking to media persons in Bhubneshwar on August 2, the President of the All Orissa Home Guards Karmachari Mahasangha, Gangadhar Panigrahy, disclosed that the Home Guards were not even provided boots, though they worked in jungle terrain. "Let alone any fire arms, Home Guards are not even given lathis (batons)", he said. Moreover, unlike the neighbouring States, the Orissa Government has yet to formulate a package for the surrender and rehabilitation of Naxalites who seek to abandon violence.

Clearly, a coherent strategy to deal with the expansion and consolidation of Naxalite groups in backward tribal areas of Orissa is yet to be formulated. An efficient and effective local administration, better policing at the grassroots level, effective coordination with law enforcing agencies of neighbouring States, and the restoration of faith in democratic politics among the tribals will be necessary to counter the further expansion of Naxalite violence in one of the most underdeveloped regions of the country.

ASSESSMENT

NEPAL

Negotiating Peace: Roadmaps and Roadblocks
Guest Writer: Deepak Thapa
Kathmandu-based Journalist and Editor

It was with a collective sigh of relief that Nepalis greeted the news, on the evening of July 31, 2003, that the Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist (CPN-M) had agreed to continue negotiations with the Government. The announcement by the rebels came after nearly three weeks of an increasingly tense situation which saw contact between the two sides limited to correspondence, the tenor of which had worsened with each exchange.

A formal invitation for a third round of talks had been sent on July 13 by the Government to the CPN-M negotiating team. The last time the rebels had met the Government was on May 9, 2003. In the meantime, the political parties, which had been calling on King Gyanendra to reinstate Parliament - dissolved since May 2002 - and form an all-party Government, had begun a 'people's movement' against the King's 'retrogressive' actions since October 2002, when the monarch had dismissed the elected Prime Minister and assumed executive authority.

Bowing to public sentiment, the then Prime Minister, Lokendra Bahadur Chand, had resigned and the King had appointed Surya Bahadur Thapa in his place in June. Thapa's appointment went against the general expectation that the King would work with the political parties and nominate their chosen candidate, CPN (Unified Marxist-Leninist, UML) General Secretary, Madhav Kumar Nepal, to the high office. By bypassing the parties, the King ensured that the Government would continue to face their non-cooperation. The Government is thus exposed to attacks from two flanks, the political parties and the Maoists.

The Surya Bahadur Thapa Government had taken office, promising to maintain continuity in the peace process that had begun with the January 2003 ceasefire. Accordingly, it had held six rounds of informal talks with representatives of the high-level Maoist negotiating team. The Maoist rebels continued to insist on the Government honouring the commitments made at the second round of talks - including the release of three of their Central Committee leaders, revealing the whereabouts of others in Government custody and, most importantly, limiting the movement of the Army to within five kilometers of their barracks. The Government denied that any agreement had been reached on the Army's movement and insisted that the Maoists not violate the code of conduct formulated in March, which included ceasing fund-raising from the public and abductions.

While the war of words went on in public, the five members of the Maoist dialogue team slowly disappeared from public view. The Government had then sent the July 13 invitation in alarm.

As a response was awaited from the Maoists, their leadership was believed to be meeting somewhere in West Nepal. The had closed down their contact office set up in the capital in April two days after the office secretary was picked up and grilled on whether the rebels were backing out of talks. The Army and the police were placed on high alert and the road checkposts that had been gradually phased out over the months, reappeared. Soldiers and policemen on leave were asked to report back to duty, and a breakdown of negotiations seemed all but inevitable.

The Maoists replied 10 days later insisting that the earlier agreements be complied with and also demanding that the King be either directly involved in talks, or else that he should publicly state that he would abide by any political resolution the Government may reach with the Maoists. They also wanted any future talks to start dealing with substantive political issues and not remain bogged down with procedural matters. On July 25, the Government responded with an undertaking to honour the earlier agreements although it reserved rights on the Army's movements.

Two days later, the Maoists issued an ultimatum in the form of a letter signed by Dr. Baburam Bhattarai, the Convenor of the Maoist negotiation team, calling on the 'old regime' to prove its sincerity by fulfilling five demands and creating 'an appropriate environment for talks by 31 July'. "If these conditions are met we are ready to sit down for a third round of talks, but if that does not happen we will be forced to conclude that the old regime has unilaterally ended the ceasefire," Bhattarai warned.

The 'conditions' were a reiteration of the demands enumerated as well as a public declaration by the Army that it will adhere to the code of conduct and also honour any agreement arising from talks. The Maoists also wanted the five-year counter-terrorism agreement signed with the US earlier this year annulled, and all US military advisers and experts expelled from the country.

The ball was now in the Government's court and it showed a measure of flexibility by releasing three CPN-M Central Committee members. The Government also dealt with the issues raised in Bhattarai's letter and provided an item-wise reply, which proved sufficient as a demonstration of good faith for the Maoists and the CPN-M Chairman, Prachanda, announced, on July 31, that he had instructed his negotiating team to proceed with the talks. He also asked the Government to include the political parties in the dialogue process in future.

There are expectations that the next round of talks will be held within a week or so. But problems persist, since the political parties, which have boycotted the Government, have already made it clear that there will be no cooperation with 'the two armies' unless their demands - including the restoration of Parliament - are first fulfilled. And without their participation, any settlement reached will be sorely lacking in legitimacy. Therein lies the challenge for Nepal.

 

NEWS BRIEFS


Weekly Fatalities: Major conflicts in South Asia
July 28-August 3, 2003

 
Civilian
Security Force Personnel
Terrorist
Total

BANGLADESH

5
0
3
8

INDIA

     Assam

0
0
4
4

     Jammu &
     Kashmir

8
6
28
42

     Left-wing
     Extremism

1
10
6
17

     Maharashtra

3
0
0
3

     Manipur

0
1
0
1

     Nagaland

0
0
2
2

     Tripura

7
1
0
8

Total (INDIA)

19
18
40
77

NEPAL

0
4
0
4

PAKISTAN

5
0
0
5
*   Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.



BANGLADESH

Government rejects Indian proposal of joint patrol along the border: The Dhaka-based Daily Star quoted Bangladesh Foreign Minister Morshed Khan as saying that Bangladesh was unable to concede to India's proposal that both countries should jointly patrol the International Border between them. He reportedly said that it was "not feasible". India had proposed in April 2003 that the Border Security Force (BSF) and Bangladesh Rifles (BDR) could work out a modality for joint patrol to prevent smuggling, illegal immigration and movement of terrorists along the border. The Hindu, August 2, 2003.


INDIA

Hizb-ul-Mujahideen not to honour any cease-fire call given by Hurriyat in J&K: The Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM) announced on August 1, 2003, that it would not honour any cease-fire call given by the secessionist All Parties Hurriyat Conference (APHC) in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K). The group indicated that it was for the terrorist leadership to decide on the timing of laying down arms. In an interview to a Kashmiri daily, The Rehmat, HM spokesperson Junaid-ul-Islam reportedly said that the Hizb was not carrying out any Fidayeen (suicide squad) attacks but added that it was capable of carrying out such attacks. Daily Excelsior, August 2, 2003.

10 security force personnel killed in landmine blast in Orissa: Five personnel of the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) and five of the Orissa State police were killed and eight others injured in a landmine blast triggered by left-wing extremists - referred to as 'Naxalites' - of the People's War Group (PWG) near Bhijengiwada village in the Malkangiri district on July 30, 2003. Speaking to the media, Inspector General of Police (Operations), M.M. Praharaj, said the incident occurred when the security force personnel were on their way to conduct a combing operation near the Vejingiwada area. Times of India, July 31, 2003.


NEPAL

Third round of peace talks likely in August, says Government: Speaking at a Rashtriya Prajatantra Party (RPP) meeting on August 2, 2003, Government spokesperson Kamal Thapa reportedly proposed August 12 as the date for the third round of peace talks with the Maoist insurgents. Separately, peace talks' facilitator Shailendra Kumar Upadhyay said that the Government would make public its agenda by August 7. Nepal News, August 3, 2003.

Government releases three Maoist Central Committee members: Reports on July 29, 2003, said that the Government had released three Maoist central committee members - Rabindra Shrestha, Bamdev Chhetri and Mumaram Khanal - from prison to fulfill one of the Maoist insurgents' preconditions to return to the negotiating table. 34 others from among the 322 persons whom the Maoists had declared missing, were also released. Nepal News, July 30, 2003.


PAKISTAN

ISI relocates underworld don Dawood Ibrahim to Pakistan-Afghanistan border: Pakistan-based underworld don Dawood Ibrahim, a prime accused in the March 1993 Mumbai serial blasts case, and eight of his associates have reportedly been shifted from their hideout in Karachi to an undisclosed location on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. He has been given protection by Pakistan's external intelligence agency, Inter Services Intelligence (ISI). Dawood Ibrahim and those relocated are on the Indian 'list of 20' given to the Pakistan Government for priority extradition. The eight associates who have been shifted along with Dawood are Chhota Shakeel, Tiger Memon, another prime accused in the serial blasts, Yeda Yakub, Tahir Takla, Aftab Batki, Javed Chikna, Anwar Theba and Fahim Machmach. Times of India, August 4, 2003.

US investigators trace 9/11 funding to Al Qaeda accounts in Pakistan: US investigators have reportedly traced the funding for the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks to Al Qaeda accounts in Pakistan. John S Pistole, Deputy Assistant Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation's (FBI) counter-terrorism division, revealed this during his testimony to the Senate Governmental Affairs Committee in Washington on July 31, 2003. Pistole said that they have "traced the origin of the funding of 9/11 to financial accounts in Pakistan, where high-ranking and well-known Al-Qaeda operatives played a major role in moving the money forward, eventually into the hands of the hijackers located in the US". However, Pistole did not specify how those accounts in Pakistan were funded. The FBI has estimated that the 9/11 attacks cost between $175,000 and $250,000, which paid for flight training, travel and other expenses. This money reportedly flowed to the hijackers through associates in Germany and the United Arab Emirates. Those associates reported to top Al Qaeda terrorist Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, who managed much of the 9/11 planning from Pakistan, US officials said. Hindustan Times, August 1, 2003.

Taliban using Pakistani soil as sanctuary for terrorist activity, says Afghan President: Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai said during an interview to a private television channel that Taliban operatives are continuing to use Pakistan as a sanctuary to stage terrorist activities in his country. "Definitely there are Taliban coming from across the border (to) conduct operations in Afghanistan… A lot of people in Afghanistan believe that the Taliban are coming from across the border, together with al-Qaeda," alleged Karzai. Jang, July 31, 2003.

The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal.

 

South Asia Intelligence Review [SAIR]

Publisher
K. P. S. Gill

Editor
Dr. Ajai Sahni



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