SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings

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Volume 2, No. 52, July 12, 2004
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	Jammu and Kashmir: Comparative violence, January to June
	ASSESSMENT
	J&K: Decapitated Nightingale -- Praveen Swami SRI LANKA: Peace in the Balance -- Iqbal Athas

Volume 2, No. 51, July 5, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	NEPAL: Tentative Political Coherence and Insurgent Consolidation -- P.G. Rajamohan INDIA-PAKISTAN: The Chasm between Rhetoric and Reality -- G. Parthasarathy

Volume 2, No. 50, June 28, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-Assam: Spreading Terror From the 'Kashmir Camp'? -- Wasbir Hussain INDIA-Nagaland: Arresting the Slide -- Bibhu Prasad Routray SOUTH ASIA-USA - RPGT 2003: Flogging a Dead Horse -- Ajai Sahni

Volume 2, No. 49, June 21, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: Perilous Stalemate -- Ameen Izzadeen INDIA-Andhra Pradesh: Another Throw of the Dice -- Nihar Nayak INDIA-Manipur: Operational Complexities -- Pradip Phanjoubam

Volume 2, No. 48, June 14, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	USA-SOUTH ASIA - PGT-2003: A Tale Told by an Idiot -- Ajai Sahni PAKISTAN: Terror and the Economy -- Kanchan Lakshman

Volume 2, No. 47, June 7, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	PAKISTAN: The Northern Areas Tinderbox -- Kanchan Lakshman NEPAL: Maoists Overrun the Hinterland -- Keshab Poudel INDIA Assam: Abductions - A Challenge to Peace --Bibhu Prasad Routray

Volume 2, No. 46, May 31, 2004
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	Jammu and Kashmir: Comparative violence, January to April
	ASSESSMENT
	PAKISTAN: Convulsion in the Military-Jehadi Enterprise -- Kanchan Lakshman INDIA-J&K: Nuts and Bolts in Counter-terrorism -- Praveen Swami BANGLADESH: Re-inventing the Terror -- Saji Cherian

Volume 2, No. 45, May 24, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA- Counter-terrorism: A New Government, a New Incoherence -- Ajai Sahni INDIA- Andhra Pradesh: Tactical Harakiri -- Saji Cherian

Volume 2, No. 44, May 17, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-J&K: Democracy Without Freedom -- Praveen Swami INDIA: Terror and Democratic Resilience -- Kanchan Lakshman

Volume 2, No. 43, May 10, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	NEPAL: Political Impasse -- Deepak Thapa SRI LANKA- Peace Process: An Opportunistic Resumption -- Jehan Perera

Volume 2, No. 42, May 3, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-BANGLADESH: Uneasy Dialogue -- Wasbir Hussain PAKISTAN: The Politics of a Retreat -- Kanchan Lakshman

Volume 2, No. 41, April 26, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: A Mutiny Disintegrates -- G. H. Peiris INDIA- Tripura: Rebels on Peace Mode? -- Wasbir Hussain

Volume 2, No. 40, April 19, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	SOUTH ASIA: The Shadow of Terror Lengthens -- Ajai Sahni INDIA - Meghalaya: Extortion Dynamics -- Sashinungla

Volume 2, No. 39, April 12, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA- J&K: Democracy at Gunpoint -- Praveen Swami INDIA: Left Wing Rampage -- Saji Cherian INDIA- Manipur: Bullets over Ballots -- Bibhu Prasad Routray SRI LANKA: Will Prabhakaran be Lucky Again? -- Bandula Jayasekara

Volume 2, No. 38, April 5, 2004
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	Sri Lanka Parliamentary General Election - 2004 Results
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: Disturbing Mandate -- Ameen Izzadeen PAKISTAN: 'Why do they hate us?' -- Ajai Sahni PAKISTAN: Riding the Jehadi Tiger -- Praveen Swami BANGLADESH- Arms Trafficking: Transit Route or Destination? -- Anand Kumar

Volume 2, No. 37, March 29, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-J&K: Elections, Again -- Praveen Swami NEPAL: Failing State -- P.G. Rajamohan INDIA-Assam: Karbi-Kuki Clashes -- Bibhu Prasad Routray

Volume 2, No. 36, March 22, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	PAKISTAN: Tactical Manipulations in FATA -- Kanchan Lakshman BHUTAN: The Shadow of Militancy Lingers -- Wasbir Hussain

Volume 2, No. 35, March 15, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	NEPAL: Arming the Children -- P. G. Rajamohan SRI LANKA: Karuna or Prabhakaran: Who will Survive? -- Bandula Jayasekara

Volume 2, No. 34, March 8, 2004
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	Sectarian Violence in Pakistan
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: Crises within Crises -- Ameen Izzadeen PAKISTAN: The Enemy Within -- Kanchan Lakshman

Volume 2, No. 33, March 1, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA- J&K: Shifting Strategy of Subversion -- K. P. S. Gill

Volume 2, No. 32, February 23, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	NEPAL: Escalating Body-count -- Deepak Thapa PAKISTAN: A Merchant Army -- Rahul Bedi INDIA-Manipur: Rebels in Top Gear -- Wasbir Hussain

Volume 2, No. 31, February 16, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	PAKISTAN: Is there a 'Plan B'? -- K.P.S. Gill INDIA-NEPAL: Emerging Co-operation Against Maoist Subversion -- P.G Rajamohan

Volume 2, No. 30, February 9, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: From Political Deadlock to General Elections -- Jehan Perera PAKISTAN: Armed, Dangerous and Unaccountable -- K.P.S. Gill NEPAL: A Future in Violence -- Dr. Thomas Marks

Volume 2, No. 29, February 2, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: Political Realignments and Peace Efforts -- G H Peiris

Volume 2, No. 28, January 26, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-Left Wing Extremism: Synchronized Onslaught -- Nihar Nayak NEPAL: Insurgency, Development and Destruction -- Dr. Lok Raj Baral

Volume 2, No. 27, January 19, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-J&K: Haze Shrouds the Hizb-ul-Mujaheddin -- Praveen Swami INDIA-Tripura: Making Sense of a 'Surrender' -- Bibhu Prasad Routray & Syed Sajjad Ali

Volume 2, No. 26, January 12, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-PAKISTAN: Another Peace Gambit -- K.P.S. Gill BANGLADESH: Increasing Pressure -- Wasbir Hussain

Volume 2, No. 25, January 5, 2004
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-PAKISTAN- Kashmir: Pakistan Explores a Political End-Game -- Praveen Swami AFGHANISTAN- The Taliban: Seeking Soft Targets -- Syed Saleem Shahzad

Volume 2, No. 24, December 29, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	PAKISTAN: Walking the Knife-Edge -- Ajai Sahni BHUTAN-INDIA: ULFA Offer of Talks: A Tactical Move? -- Wasbir Hussain BANGLADESH: Islamic Militancy: The Shadow Lengthens -- Haroon Habib

Volume 2, No. 23, December 22, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	BHUTAN: Going for the Kill -- Wasbir Hussain

Volume 2, No. 22, December 15, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	NEPAL-INDIA: Maoist Incursions across Open Borders -- P.G. Rajamohan INDIA-Nagaland: The Dynamics of Extortion -- Sashinungla

Volume 2, No. 21, December 8, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	NEPAL: How not to Fight an Insurgency -- Ajai Sahni INDIA-Assam: Another Uncertain Accord -- Bibhu Prasad Routray

Volume 2, No. 20, December 1, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-Chhattisgarh: Democracy vs. 'People's War' -- Nihar Nayak PAKISTAN-Tactical Adjustments in the Terrorist Enterprise -- Ajai Sahni

Volume 2, No. 19, November 24, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-Assam: Death by Administrative Failure -- Kishalay B. INDIA-J&K: Breaking the Stalemate -- Praveen Swami

Volume 2, No. 18, November 17, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: A Presidential Intervention -- G.H. Peiris INDIA- Manipur: The Death of Innocence -- Pradip Phanjoubam & Bibhu Prasad Routray INDIA-Assam: Ethnic Face-off -- Animesh Roul

Volume 2, No. 17, November 10, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: On the Brink, Again -- Iqbal Athas BHUTAN- The Refugee Conundrum: Getting there? -- Kinley Dorji INDIA- A Prime Minister in Wonderland: The Peace Process and Its Perils -- Praveen Swami

Volume 2, No. 16, November 3, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: LTTE: A Maximal Proposal -- Jehan Perera INDIA-PAKISTAN: Another Swing of the Pendulum -- Ajai Sahni

Volume 2, No. 15, October 27, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: POTA: Miscued Priorities -- Saji Cherian INDIA: Sikkim: Lull Before the Storm? -- Wasbir Hussain

Volume 2, No. 14, October 20, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: J&K: The Writing on the Barrel of the Gun -- Praveen Swami PAKISTAN: Nailing a Lie -- Kanchan Lakshman SRI LANKA: A Government Divided -- Ameen Izzadeen INDIA: Tripura: Creating an Unenviable Record -- Bibhu Prasad Routray

Volume 2, No. 13, October 13, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	PAKISTAN: Resurgent Sectarianism -- Syed Saleem Shahzad INDIA: Manipur: Caught In a Homeland War -- Wasbir Hussain INDIA: Assam: Resisting Extortion - HLL Leads the Way -- Bibhu Prasad Routray

Volume 2, No. 12, October 6, 2003
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	INDIA: Fatalities in Left-wing Extremist Violence in Andhra Pradesh, 1980-2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: Andhra Pradesh: Violence Without End -- Nihar Nayak

Volume 2, No. 11, September 29, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN: The Taliban Rises - Again -- Syed Saleem Shahzad INDIA: Meghalaya: Shutting Down the Industry of Terror -- Bibhu Prasad Routray

Volume 2, No. 10, September 22, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	BHUTAN: King-size Problem -- Wasbir Hussain INDIA: Jharkhand: Vigilantes in a Cycle of Violence -- Nihar Nayak

Volume 2, No. 9, September 15, 2003
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	INDIA: Comparison of Terrorist Violence in Jammu and Kashmir 2001-2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: J&K: Withering Roses - The Peace Process Melts Down -- Praveen Swami NEPAL: A Nation Under Siege -- Deepak Thapa

Volume 2, No. 8, September 8, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: J&K: The Hurriyat Splits -- Kanchan Lakshman AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN: No Endgame in Sight -- Ajai Sahni

Volume 2, No. 7, September 1, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: A Tide of Terror -- Ajai Sahni NEPAL: Return to Bloodshed -- Yubaraj Ghimire INDIA: Nagaland: Chastising Insurgency -- Sashinungla INDIA-BANGLADESH: Catch 22 in Dhaka -- Wasbir Hussain

Volume 2, No. 6, August 25, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	SRI LANKA: An Equal Place in the Peace Process -- Jehan Perera NEPAL: The Gordian Knot -- Deepak Thapa INDIA: Arunachal Pradesh: Legitimising Insurgency? -- Bibhu Prasad Routray

Volume 2, No. 5, August 18, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: Tripura: In the Rebels' Firing Line -- Wasbir Hussain PAKISTAN: The Sectarian Menace -- Dr. Iffat Idris

Volume 2, No. 4, August 11, 2003
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	Fatalities in Terrorist Violence in Nagaland, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-PAKISTAN: The 'Peace' Carnival -- Ajai Sahni INDIA: Nagaland: Disturbed State, Ceasefire Notwithstanding -- Animesh Roul

Volume 2, No. 3, August 4, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: Naxalite Consolidation in Orissa -- Sanjay K. Jha NEPAL: Negotiating Peace: Roadmaps and Roadblocks -- Deepak Thapa

Volume 2, No. 2, July 28, 2003
	STATISTICAL REVIEW
	INDIA: Fatalities in Terrorist Violence in Manipur, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA: Manipur: Insurgent Show of Force -- Praveen Kumar INDIA: Shadow-boxing in Meghalaya -- Anirban Roy Sri Lanka: Peace Process Under Threat? -- Ameen Izzadeen

Volume 2, No. 1, July 21, 2003
	ASSESSMENT
	INDIA-PAKISTAN: Terrorists Talk Peace -- Kanchan Lakshman INDIA: Arunachal Pradesh: Insurgency Spillover -- T. T. Tara INDIA: Naxalite Arsenal: Growing Concern -- Sanjay K Jha

The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that will bring you regular data, assessments and news brief on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal.

Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the South Asia Terrorism Portal

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South Asia Intelligence Review [SAIR]
Dr. Ajai Sahni

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Institute For Conflict Management

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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW Weekly Assessments & Briefings

SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings