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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 14, No. 25, December 21, 2015

Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal


ASSESSMENT

INDIA
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Jharkhand: Democracy's March
Mrinal Kanta Das
Research Assistant, Institute for Conflict Management

On December 17, 2015, the Jharkhand Police killed a People’s Liberation Front of India (PLFI) ‘area commander’, identified as Dinesh Sahu (28) in an encounter, at Bandha village under the Tupudana Block of Ranchi District in Jharkhand. He was wanted in at least 29 cases in the Khunti District. Khunti Superintendent of Police (SP) Anish Gupta disclosed, “He (Sahu) was wanted in several cases of rape, murder and extortion. Reacting on a tip-off by one of our informers, we found him and shot him dead.” Four of Sahu’s accomplices, however, managed to escape. Arms and ammunition were recovered from the encounter site. PLFI is a splinter group of the Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist).

On December 13, 2015, a suspected CPI-Maoist cadre, identified as Basudeo Oraon (35), was killed while planting an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) at Anegada village under Bagru Police Station limits, in the Lohardaga District. Police sources disclosed that it was possible that the man was setting up an IED to target security personnel. Describing the incident as a ‘Maoist act’ Lohardaga Superintendent of Police (SP) Kartik S. observed, "The blast occurred right at the spot where Maoists put up a banner last night urging people to boycott Monday's polls. There exists possibility of link between the victim and the poll-boycott."

Further, a ‘sub-zonal commander’ of Tritiya Prastuti Committee (TPC), identified as Sohrai Mochi aka Harinder ji aka Birsa ji, was arrested on December 16 in Palamu's Harya village in the Manatu Police Station area. He was earlier with the CPI-Maoist, but left in 2008 to join TPC and rose through the ranks to become its ‘sub-zonal commander’. TPC is a splinter group of the CPI-Maoist.

Left-Wing Extremist (LWE) groups are facing a tough time in Jharkhand. Even CPI-Maoist, the most prominent LWE outfit in India, is finding it increasingly difficult to operate in the State, as in other theaters of LWE conflict in India. Chhattisgarh which is considered as the nerve centre of Maoist resistance is also crumbling rapidly.

According to the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP) database, LWE-related incidents have claimed 57 lives, including 16 civilians, five SF personnel and 37 extremists in 2015 (data till December 20) in Jharkhand, as against 97 killings including 48 civilians, 12 SF personnel and 37 LWE cadres in 2014. With just over a week remaining in 2015, we see a 41 per cent decline in total fatality figures as against 2014. Further, civilian fatalities have fallen to a third and the single digit SF fatality in 2015 makes it clear that the Maoists in the State are losing steam. According to the Union Ministry of Home Affairs (UMHA) data, as of November 20, Jharkhand has recorded 287 incidents of LWE violence in 2015, down from 338 incidents over the same period in 2014. It is significant to note that there are 19 LWE outfits operating in and out of Jharkhand.

Meanwhile, the second Panchayat (local bodies) election was conducted in the State in four phases, from November 22 to December 12, 2015. Despite the Maoists’ poll boycott call, the voting percentage stood at a high 72 per cent, as against 70 per cent in 2010. The State Assembly Elections held in 2014 also recorded a 66 per cent voter turnout, as against 58 per cent in 2009, a clear electoral rebuff for the Maoists. Crucially, during the Panchayat election period, there was negligible LWE violence reported in the State, with media reports indicating just two arson incidents and one civilian killing. In comparison, the 2010 five phase Panchayat election conducted between November 27 and December 24 had witnessed much higher level of LWE violence. While the first and second phases of the 2010 elections were peaceful, the Maoists fired at polling party in West Singhbhum District and triggered a landmine blast in Chhatra District during the third phase. During the fourth phase on December 24, 2010 the Maoists opened fire from a hill top in Baridih Kanpur panchayat in Chakulia block of East Singhbhum District. Further, during the final phase of elections, two Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) troopers were killed in an encounter in Godda District and the Maoists set ablaze three vehicles in the same District.

Adding to current Maoist reverses, media reports citing unnamed Intelligence Bureau (IB) sources, suggest that some LWE cadres in Jharkhand wish to surrender, including some at senior levels. Throwing light on the state of affairs in the Maoist movement in the State, People’s Union for Civil Liberties (PUCL) General Secretary Shashi Bhushan Pathak noted, “It would be inappropriate to mention that there is a caste war in the Maoist fold but the commitment levels of some leaders have certainly gone down and hence they are turning renegades.” The CPI-Maoist has acknowledged the difficult situation the party is facing on more than one occasion.     

Despite the downtrend, it would be wise not to write off the Maoists in Jharkhand. During the recently concluded Lohardaga Assembly by-election [December 14], after an IED blast triggered by Maoists, a mere five per cent of registered voters came out of their homes at Anegada village, the blast site, to cast their votes, though overall voting per cent was above 66 per cent.  

Moreover on December 9, 2015, the Maoists killed a civilian, identified as Penubolu Venka Reddy, (52), in the forests of East Singhbhum District. Suspected LWEs also abducted a stone crusher plant owner on December 13 from Chowka in Seraikela-Kharsawan District.

Though denied by authorities, media reports suggest that Maoists in Jharkhand have asked people in four villages in Palamu, Garhwa, Latehar and Lohardaga District to “spare” one child from each family to join the armed rebellion. This diktat was reportedly issued around mid November 2015. Last year, following similar reports of Maoists demanding children from each village in Gumla District, the Jharkhand High Court had taken suo moto cognizance of media reports and subsequently directed the state to protect the children from being exploited by LWE outfits.

Meanwhile, efforts to further augment Jharkhand Police strength are ongoing. The Force soon likely to get a Special Intelligence Wing (SIW), on the lines of its Andhra Pradesh counterpart, to be used only for the purpose of collecting intelligence on LWEs and conducting operations against them. According to senior Police officials, it will also act as a brain for the Special Task Force (STF). A meeting chaired by Director General of Police (DGP) D.K. Pandey was held at Police Headquarters in Ranchi on December 8 where a thorough discussion took place relating to the formation of SIW in Jharkhand.

At this juncture a new template seems to be emerging in Jharkhand. Clearly the Maoists’ ability to strike at will has been halted for the time being. Under increasing pressure from the SFs, the Maoists have been constrained in their activities. Sustained pressure would further squeeze the operational space available to them. On the other hand, any complacency would be extremely dangerous, as the Maoists have made many a comebacks in the past.

PAKISTAN
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Funding Terror through Extortion
Tushar Ranjan Mohanty
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

At least five women were injured in a medium-intensity blast in the Mohalla Bajauri Khord area of Sarki Gate in Peshawar, the provincial capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), on December 6, 2015. An unnamed Police official disclosed that a device weighing three kilogrammes was planted near the house of one Amjad Khan, a local contractor. “The windows of nearby houses have been damaged and five neighbourhood women were injured inside their houses when they were hit by broken glass,” the official added. The official disclosed that the contractor was constantly receiving threats and extortion demands.

On December 4, 2015, at least two houses were damaged in separate explosions in Yakatoot and Phandu areas of Peshawar. In one incident, an unnamed Police official indicated, unidentified assailants lobbed a hand grenade targeting the house of one Ahmad Khan at Madina Colony in Panj Khat Chowk of Yakatoot. Though there was no loss of life, the house was damaged in the attack.  According to the Police, “Unidentified extortionists had been demanding Ahmad to cough up (sic) Rs. 10 [PKR] million as extortion… They were constantly threatening him.”

In another incident on the same day, the house of a trader, Zainullah Khan Safi, on Phandu Road was damaged when an explosive device planted near the main gate went off. Though no loss of life was reported in the attack, apart from the house, four shops were also damaged in the blast. The attack is believed to be carried out by a group of extortionists.

An Improvised Explosive Device (IED) explosion took place near the house of a trader, Haji Saeed Hussain, in the jurisdiction of Yakatoot Police Station on November 15, 2015. No causality was reported in the blast. Again, extortionists are believed to be behind the attack.

On November 14, 2015, unidentified assailants hurled a hand grenade targeting the house of a Customs Inspector, Muhammad Rafeeq, at Ghari Qamaruddin in Peshawar, as he had refused to pay extortionists. No causality was reported in the blast.

These recent incidents exemplify a growing trend in Peshawar. According to Peshawar Police data released on November 14, 2015, as many as 58 cases of extortion had been reported under separate Police Stations falling under three Police Circles over the preceding 10 months. Of these, 38 were reported in the Peshawar Cantonment Circle; 14 in Peshawar City Circle; and six in the Peshawar Rural Circle. An unnamed Police official, on the condition of anonymity, is reported to have stated that the actual incidence would likely be much higher, because most victims don’t contact the Police out of fear.

Earlier on July 16, 2015, the Peshawar Police had claimed an over 50 per cent drop in extortion cases in Peshawar during the first six months of the current year. According to them, 107 extortion cases were reported in Peshawar during the first six months of 2014, but the number dropped to 43 in the corresponding period of the current year.

Data collected from the Central Police Office, Peshawar, puts the annual average of extortion cases registered during years 2011, 2012, and 2013 at 30 cases per year. The data shows that while 13 cases of extortion were registered in 2011, 21 such cases were reported in 2012. 56 such cases were witnessed in 2013. This jumped to 285 in the first three quarters of 2014.

Though no current data is available in the open source, a report published in November 2013 indicated that at least 42 groups were actively involved in extortion and kidnappings for ransom in KP: “In the provincial capital, Peshawar, the number of such groups stand at 18, followed by 11 in Dera Ismail Khan, five in Kohat, five in Bannu and three in Mardan.” According to the report, three types of groups were involved in extortion and kidnapping for ransom – militants, criminal gangs and individuals or groups who use abduction as means to settle their business or personal disputes with opponents. “Following abduction, the kidnappers hand their victims over to other groups to make the demand for ransom. In most cases, trained gang members are used to survey the intended target before kidnapping them at gunpoint… Sometimes police officials, other criminals or influential people are used to finalise the payment of the ransom with the target’s families,” the report claimed.

Significantly, cases of Policemen’s involvement in the extortion racket have come to light recently. Three Police officials were suspended on September 26, 2015, for collecting extortion money from leather traders in the Namak Mandi area of Peshawar. The Policemen were suspended after a video came out that showed an old man, the leather trader, handing over money to the Policemen and then leaving. The old trader later had said that he had paid bribes to Policemen on at least eight occasions because they kept giving him trouble. The video also showed a child riding on a bicycle being kicked by a Police constable. 

Unsurprisingly, local traders on July 15, 2015, had insisted that extortionists continue to threaten many of them for money, and that the situation remained far from satisfactory.

More specifically, the Peshawar Chamber of Traders and Small Industry President Ehtesham Haleem stated, on July 15, 2015, that while extortion calls from local phone numbers had declined considerably, extortion remained a worry, and that calls demanding money originating from Afghanistan were forcing 80 to 90 per cent of traders to pay to extortionists, as the Police were failing to stop such demands. Significantly, the Provincial Government and the Pakistan Telecommunications Authority have failed to block unregistered Afghan roaming Subscriber Identity Modules (SIMs), which are available easily in the local (Peshawar) market.

Significantly, Counter-Terrorism Department (CTD) officials admitted, on November 22, 2015, “These [extortionists] are local groups based in Afghanistan. We know about them and are currently investigating the matter. Our crackdown is still under way. We are trying to target and eliminate all extortionists but it will take time.” On December 13, 2014, Capital City Police Officer (CCPO) Ejaz Khan had admitted that incidents of harassment for extortion have increased and Afghan SIM cards working on roaming were the main medium being used. He had then demanded that these mobile networks should be banned.

Violence related to extortion in Peshawar in particular and KP at large has compelled traders to move to other cities or countries. Though no reliable data has been made available, the KP Chamber of Commerce and Industry, in a statement released on March 4, 2015, had revealed that around 150 professionals had left the Province due to the fear of extortionists. Echoing the sentiment, on the same day, Fuad Ishaq, President of the KP Chamber of Commerce and Industry, had stated that there is a constant threat of extortion to industrialists and traders of Peshawar: “This is why, Peshawar has witnessed flight of capital as well as migration of industrialists and traders to other parts of the country.” He had also disclosed that in KP, extortion cases were on the rise in Peshawar, Charsadda, Mardan, Nowshera, Swabi, Kohat, Lakki Marwat and Bannu Districts. Ishaq added, “If the Government is sincere to bring back peace to the militancy-hit Province of KP, it should work to restore the confidence of the industrialists and traders by providing security.” He argued, further, that this would help fight terrorism as well, since extortion was the principal means used by terror groups to replenish their coffers and sustain their activities.

Regrettably, however, the Provincial Government continues to demonstrate helplessness in controlling terrorism. Provincial Minister of Industries, Shaukat Yousafzai stated, on April 27, 2014, that the Government was pinning hopes on a specialised Anti-Terrorist Force, adding, “We cannot provide a Policeman to every man. But we are trying to solve these burning issues.” He admitted that the Police had been assigned the task of fighting militancy without being adequately equipped.

Extortion has become rampant across KP in particular, and, in fact, across Pakistan at large. The failure of the state to control this menace has contributed directly to the capacities of terrorist groups to sustain their operations, undermining the security of citizens and the state across the country.


NEWS BRIEFS

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia
December 14-20, 2015

 

Civilians

Security Force Personnel

Terrorists/Insurgents

Total

BANGLADESH

 

Islamist Terrorism

0
0
1
1

INDIA

 

Arunachal Pradesh

0
0
1
1

Nagaland

1
0
0
1

Left-Wing Extremism

 

Chhattisgarh

2
0
1
3

Jharkhand

0
0
1
1

Total (INDIA)

3
0
3
6

PAKISTAN

 

Balochistan

1
1
16
18

FATA

0
0
31
31

Sindh

1
0
0
1

Total (PAKISTAN)

2
1
47
50
Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.


BANGLADESH

No force in world can stop Bangladesh's war crimes trial, asserts Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina Wajed: Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina Wajed on December 14 asserted that no force in world can stop Bangladesh's war crimes trial. She said, "Those who committed such crimes are now undergoing trial and their trial will go on alongside the war crimes trial."

Meanwhile, on December 18, International War Crimes Mass Trial Committee was formed with an aim to build a collaborators-free Bangladesh. Shipping Minister Shajahan Khan has been made convener of the 501-member committee. The joint conveners of the committee are journalist Abed Khan, Shirin Akter, MP, freedom fighter Alauddin Miah and Dhaka Union of Journalist general secretary Quddus Afrad. Freedom fighter Osman Ali will be its member secretary, while assistant member secretaries are actress Shomi Kaiser and journalist Anjan Roy. Daily Star, December 15; New Age, December 19, 2015.

There is no existence of IS in the country and Government is trying to clamp down on extremism, says Home Minister Asaduzzaman Khan: Home Minister Asaduzzaman Khan on December 16 said that there is no existence of Islamic State (IS) in the country and the Government is trying to clamp down on extremism. He said, "We are saying always, our Prime Minister also asserts that there is no IS here. We are trying to control such militant groups that are trying to be surfaced." New Age, December 19, 2015.


INDIA

34 persons arrested in India between 2013-2015 on charges of spying for ISI, according to UMHA: As many as 34 persons, including 11 serving and retired Armed Force personnel and one serving Border Security Force (BSF) personnel, have been arrested over the past three years on charges of spying for Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), as per statistics furnished by Union Ministry of Home Affairs (UMHA) on December 16. In reply to a Rajya Sabha (Upper House of Indian Parliament), Union Minister of State for Home Affairs Haribhai Parathibhai Chaudhary told that 14 persons have been arrested for alleged espionage on behalf of ISI so far in 2015. Times of India, December 17, 2015.

JMB colluding with terror groups of India with Pakistan's assistance, says report: Assam Police and Crime Investigation Department have claimed that there is mounting evidence that Jama'atul Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB) was colluding with terror groups based in several northern parts of West Bengal and north-east region of the country. The most important evidence in this regard reportedly has landed with Assam Police which claim it has telephonic intercepts that say jihadis are in touch with Pakistan-sponsored terror groups. Times of India, December 16, 2015.

India will operate under UN flag against IS if UN adopts resolution, states Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar: India on December 16 said it can undertake operations against the Islamic State (IS) under a UN flag if the global body adopts a resolution in this regard. Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar said, "We have made it clear that if there is a UN resolution and if there is UN flag and a UN mission, then as per India's policy to operate under UN flag, we will participate." Parrikar also stated that India has been sharing intelligence on the IS and it will be enhanced. Indian Express, December 17, 2015.

India and Pakistan join steps against terrorism, says report: On December 15, at the Shanghai Co-operation Organisation (SCO) meeting in China, India and Pakistan struck a rare united stand to forge collective action to curb terrorism. India also called on Islamabad to end cross border terrorism and external interference in Afghanistan. "Many of the problems confronting our region, especially the rising tide of cross-border terrorism and extremism, require trans-national solutions," Union Minister of State for External Affairs General V.K. Singh (Retired) said while speaking at the SCO heads of government meeting in central China's Zhengzhou city. Asian Age, December 16, 2015.


PAKISTAN

23 civilians and five SFs among 33 persons killed during the week in FATA: At least 23 suspected militants were killed in air strikes carried out by the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) in the Rajgal area of Tirah Valley in Khyber Agency of Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) on December 18.

At least eight terrorists were killed and eight other terrorists were injured in Army air strikes in the Rajgal and Sparee areas in Tirah Valley on December 15. Daily Times; Dawn; The News; Tribune; The Nation; The Frontier Post; Pakistan Today; Pakistan Observer, December 15-21, 2015.

360 schools were destroyed in FATA during 2015: The Government has told the lower house of parliament that 360 schools were destroyed in three agencies of the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) during 2015. "The areas of the [Fata] agencies which are not accessible are being assessed/surveyed," Federal Minister for States and Frontier Regions Lieutenant-General (retd) Abdul Qadir Baloch told the National Assembly. According to the statistics, at least 166 schools were destroyed in North Waziristan Agency, 139 in Khyber Agency and 55 in South Waziristan Agency. Tribune, December 17, 2015.

61 organisations banned; JuD under observation since 2005, says Minister of State for Interior Balighur Rehman: Minister of State for Interior Balighur Rehman on December 18 told the Senate that Jama'at-ud-Dawa (JuD) has been under observation since December 1, 2005, while 61 other organisations have been banned. He said that any organisation found involved in terrorism and extremism would not be allowed to operate in the country and that under the National Action Plan (NAP), the Ministry and Provincial Governments had taken appropriate measures to stop banned outfits from re-emerging with new names. The State Minister said two organisations, Al-Akhtar Trust and Al-Rashid Trust, were listed under "UNSCR 1267". Daily Times, December 19, 2015.

Pakistan not focused on taking actions against terror groups targeting India and Afghanistan, states Special US Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan Richard G Olson: Pakistan is not focusing on taking action against terror groups operating on its soil that pose a threat to both India and Afghanistan, Richard G Olson, Special US Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan stated. "They (Pakistan) have focused more on the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan [TTP] than they have on external terrorist actors that's threatened their neighbours, whether Afghanistan or India," Richard G Olson, told members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Economic Times, December 18, 2015.

US lawmaker calls for closure of 600 madrassas in Pakistan: A United States (US) Congressman Ed Royce during a Congressional hearing on December 18 sought the closure of 600 Deobandi madrassas (religious seminaries) in Pakistan, describing them as an "infrastructure of hate" and which are fanning terrorism and extremism in the country, as he asserted that the country had failed in eliminating the extremist mindset. He alleged that the madrassas were spewing hate. The News, December 19, 2015.

Military still plays bloated role in Pakistan's politics, says former Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar: Former Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar during the 'Head to Head' segment of on Al Jazeera on December 18 said that the military still plays a bloated role in Pakistan's politics, claiming the Prime Minister has "much less freedom than he ought to have". Khar also said Pakistan was 'guilty of being incompetent' when it came to the presence of Osama Bin Laden in Abbottabad, while denying any role of the Pakistan People's Party (PPP)-led Government in protecting the global terror kingpin. Tribune, December 19, 2015.

TTP reject Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi's claim to be 'caliph': Tehreek-e- Taliban Pakistan (TTP) on December 19 rejected Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi's claim to be the global leader of all Muslims. "Baghdadi is not Khalifa (caliph) because in Islam, Khalifa means that he has command over all the Muslim world, while Baghdadi has no such command; he has command over a specific people and territory," the Pakistan Taliban said in a statement. The TTP's statement comes after a similar rejection by the Afghan Taliban following pledges of allegiance from low-level commanders of both Islamist movements to the Middle East-based Islamic State (IS). Times of India, December 21, 2015.


SRI LANKA

US praises Sri Lanka's success in rebuilding and reconciliation as an example to world: The United States (US) Under Secretary of State (Designate) for Political Affairs, Ambassador Thomas Shannon on December 15 said that Sri Lanka's success in rebuilding the country and reconciliation with people will be an example to the rest of the world. Ambassador Tom Shannon visited the port city of Trincomalee in the Eastern Province as part of continued US engagement with all of Sri Lanka and met with Government officials and civil society leaders to discuss the development and progress of US funded projects and importance of human rights and transitional justice for reconciliation. Colombo Page, December 16, 2015.


The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal.

South Asia Intelligence Review [SAIR]

Publisher
K. P. S. Gill

Editor
Dr. Ajai Sahni


A Project of the
Institute For Conflict Management



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