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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 8, No. 23, December 14, 2009


Data and
assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form
with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal
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Andhra
Pradesh: Maoist Free Fall
Fakir Mohan Pradhan
Research Assistant, Institute for Conflict Management
For decades,
Andhra Pradesh (AP) was one of the States worst affected
by Maoist violence, and even today provides the largest
number and most prominent among the Naxalite (Left Wing
Extremist, LWE) leadership. In 2009, not a single Security
Force (SF) personnel was killed in the State, and total
fatalities were down to just 26, including eight civilians,
in a national total of 951 for the year, counting 299
SFs and 366 civilians among them. Unsurprisingly, Mupalla
Laxman Rao aka Ganapathi, the ‘general secretary’
and ‘supreme commander’ of the Communist Party of India
– Maoist (CPI-Maoist),
in a media interview, conceded that the Maoists had
suffered "a serious setback" in Andhra Pradesh.
LWE
related fatalities: 2004-2009
Year
|
Incidents
|
Civilians
killed
|
SFs
killed
|
Extremists
killed
|
Total
Fatalities
|
2004
|
310
|
68
|
06
|
47
|
121
|
2005
|
535
|
186
|
22
|
161
|
369
|
2006
|
183
|
37
|
10
|
133
|
180
|
2007
|
138
|
43
|
02
|
45
|
90
|
2008*
|
94
|
45
|
01
|
36
|
82
|
2009**
|
35
|
8
|
0
|
18
|
26
|
Source:
2004-2007- Union Ministry of Home Affairs, Government
of India
*Data 2008- Andhra Pradesh Police
** Data 2009- South Asia Terrorism Portal (Till December
13, 2009)
According
to the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP)
database, the sharply declining trend in Maoist violence
continued through 2009, with overall LWE fatalities
declining by 70 per cent from the previous year, while
incidents related to Maoist activity decreased by nearly
62 percent. Civilian fatalities dropped 82 per cent.
Significantly, in an index of the near total dominance
of the SFs, Maoist fatalities also dropped nearly 50
per cent, indicating that the rebels were no longer
engaging with the Police and Paramilitary Forces. This
trend has been steadily consolidated since 2006, when
the Andhra Pradesh Police began intensive campaigns
against what was then a rampaging movement in the State.
According to the SATP database, there have been
just two major incidents (involving three or more fatalities)
in Maoist-related violence in 2009, both relating to
casualties suffered by Maoists. These were:
December
2: Three cadres of the CPI-Maoist were killed in an
encounter with a special party of Policemen in the forest
near Kallegaon-Pittaguda under Kerameri Police Station
limits of Adilabad District. Two of those killed were
identified as Mylarapu Adellu alias Bhaskar alias
Narsanna, the CPI-Maoist Adilabad ‘District Committee
Secretary’ (DCS) and Chippakurthi Ravi alias
Sudershan, a District Committee member. Some 10 others
managed to escape.
January
20: Three cadres of the CPI-Maoist, including a woman,
were killed in an encounter which lasted for about half-an-hour,
during combing operations launched by the Police in
the Aberupadu forests area of Visakhapatnam District.
Though
Maoist activities were reported from 10 of the 25 Districts
in AP, the bulk of incidents were reported from Khammam,
Visakhapatnam, Warangal and Adilabad. Significantly,
not a single ‘swarming attack’, involving large numbers
of ‘people’s militia’, was even attempted in the State
in 2009.
The State
Police inflicted further and serious damage on the crumbling
Maoist leadership structures in AP. Two senior Maoist
leaders, identified as Patel Sudhakar Reddy aka Suryam
aka Srikanth and Kanugula Venkataiah, were killed
during an encounter at the Gaurappa Hillocks near Lavvala
village in the thick Tadvai forest area in Warangal
District on May 24, 2009. While Reddy was a Central
Committee member, Venkataiah was a member of the State
Committee for AP and also a member of its ‘technical
wing’. Further, the Warangal District’s ‘action team
commander' Manthani Raju aka Daya, with a reward
of INR 500,000 for his capture or neutralization, was
killed in an encounter with the Police in the Kodavatancha
village on October 31. Separately, the ‘State secretary’
of the Praja Pratighatana faction of the Communist Party
of India-Marxist-Leninist (CPI-ML-Praja Pratighatana),
Sudhakar aka Ashok, was killed in an encounter
with the Police in the Eturunagaram Forests near Bhupathipur
village in Warangal District on July 1, 2009.
Some
Maoist leaders were also arrested during the period.
Nagella Chandra Kala aka Swarnakka, the ‘commander’
of the Maoist ‘action team’ in Mahabubnagar, and Nallakasula
Alivelumanga aka Sudha, the Bhopal-based central
technical committee member, were arrested on February
1. A Maoist ‘commander’ identified as Bisetti Maheswara
Rao aka Venu aka Raghava, was arrested
from the Vizianagaram District on February 24, and Rachakonda
area committee ‘commander’ T. Yadaiah aka Kranthi,
was arrested along with eight cadres from Nalgonda District
on March 24. On October 9, seven cadres of the CPI-Maoist,
including a 'deputy commander', one armed militia 'commander'
and a 'platoon member', were arrested by Khammam District
Police.
Arrests
were compounded by a number of surrenders, with at least
44 Maoists laying down arms before the Police during
the year. The surrendered cadres included at least one
State Committee member, one Special Zonal Committee
member, one north Telengana Zonal Committee member,
four area committee members, two commanders, two deputy
commanders, and several dalam (armed squad) members
among others.
The Andhra
Pradesh Home Minister K. Jana Reddy, on May 4, claimed
that not more than 150-160 CPI-Maoist cadres could be
present in the State. However, some media reports, citing
unidentified Police sources, suggested that the surviving
strength of extremists in the State could include as
many as 460 cadres.
The State
Police has not, however, lapsed into complacence, despite
the continuous string of successes, and has striven
to keep the pressure on the Maoists. Indeed, nearly
all intelligence leading up to the arrest of the top
five Maoist functionaries – Ravi Sharma, B. Anuradha,
Motillal Soren, Amit Bagchi and Kobad Ghandy – from
different locations of the country, and the killing
of Patel Sudhakar Reddy, was provided by the AP Police
special Naxal tracking cell in the State’s Subsidiary
Intelligence Bureau. "Their intelligence is at
least 15 years ahead of ours. Even after driving the
Maoists out from their State, they have kept it (their
intelligence system) alive and kicking, which is helping
us with some vital and timely inputs," a senior
Chhattisgarh Police official conceded. The Union Government
has reportedly asked States like Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh
and Orissa to model their Intelligence cells on those
in Andhra Pradesh.
Despite
the Maoist admission of reverses due to ‘several mistakes’,
it is clear that the rebels have not given up. Ganapathy
clarified that, "in any protracted people’s war,
there will be advances and retreats. If we look at the
situation in Andhra Pradesh from this perspective, you
will understand that what we did there is a kind of
retreat. Confronted with a superior force, we chose
to temporarily retreat our forces from some regions
of Andhra Pradesh, extend and develop our bases in the
surrounding regions and then hit back at the enemy."
Underlining
the Maoist strategic and tactical perspectives was a
surge in Maoists activities in AP towards the end of
2009. Two Congress activists were killed by the rebels
in Warangal District in October 2009, and Director-General
of Police (DGP) R. R. Girish Kumar, on October 19, admitted
to "some spurt" in Maoists activities. He, however,
insisted that the State Police were taking "adequate
steps" to meet the threat. On November 5, moreover,
Karimnagar Superintendent of Police N. Shiva Shankar
Reddy, stated that the Police had secured credible information
relating to intrusions by the Maoists into the Districts
along the borders with Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh and
Orissa, following massive combing operations in those
States. Tushar Aditya Tripathi, the newly appointed
Inspector General of Police (IGP) for the Andhra Region
admitted on November 11 that the number of Maoist Grama
Rakshaka Dalams [Village Defence Squad, GRDs) in
the State had increased in the recent months. Asked
about the east division, Tripathi said that there were
five GRDs in Maredumilli. GRDs had also been formed
in Sileru and other areas bordering Visakhapatnam District.
He said the Maoists had divided the Andhra-Orissa Border
(AoB) and adjacent areas into three jurisdictions –
East Godavari-Visakhapatnam, Koraput and Srikakulam.
There
were reports that nearly 70 ‘action team’ members had
sneaked into the North Telangana Districts. Sources
said CPI-Maoist cadres, in league with members of the
CPI-ML-Janashakthi group, were trying to regroup and
to take the movement forward in Nizamabad, Karimnagar
and Warangal Districts. "The Maoists are visiting interior
villages to meet sympathisers, while Janashakthi leaders
are holding meetings with beedi (Indian cigar)
workers and women’s group members," a source stated.
A media report dated October 25, 2009, citing
unnamed ‘highly placed sources’, claimed that the Maoists
were planning to restore lost dominance in the North
Telangana region by launching agitations against open-cast
mines under Singareni Collieries, an issue that likely
enjoys significant local support. To this end, the extremist
party has reactivated its frontal organisation, the
Singareni Karmika Samakya (Sikasa), which has
a strong presence among the coal miners.
The Maoists
also continue to attempt to harvest various issues to
secure mobilisation among rural masses. Thus, in Yathnaram
village of Mahamutharam mandal, the Maoists left
three notes at the site of the killing of a former Prathigatana
dalam ‘commander’, Ramlal, on October 11. In
one letter, the Maoists stated that they had killed
Ramlal because he was acting as a Police informer. In
a second, they demanded that the Government declare
the region drought affected and provide an assured 10-hour
power supply to the farm sector. They also demanded
that the Government distribute 50 kilograms of rice
and a pension of INR 1,000 for each family in the wake
of drought; a fee waiver for students and free distribution
of books. In the third letter, the Maoists took up the
cause of environmental protection and warned poachers
of ‘serious action’ if they kill wild animals by laying
live electric wire fencing in the forests and in fields
abutting forests in the interior villages. The letters
were jointly signed by the Maoists and various front
organisations, including the Viplava Rythu Coolie Sangham
(VRCS) and Viplava Mahila Sangham (VMS), which work
among unorganised labourers and women. The Police sources
believe that the Maoists have slowly strengthened their
cadre in rural and urban areas through various ‘sub-committees’
tasked with mobilisation of target groups.
The Maoists
are also believed to have infiltrated the agitation
for a separate Telengana State. Inspector-General of
Police A. R. Anuradha, the State Police spokesman, disclosed,
"We have received Intelligence reports that the
movement has gone out of the students’ hands and those
Maoists and other professional agitators are moving
in. Given such a situation, we do not wish to take any
chance with law and order problem. The Maoists already
are believed to be in Dandakaranya."
Mindful
of the problem, the State DGP has declared that the
State Police will not allow the Maoists to regain lost
ground. On October 30, the DGP said that the Government
had sanctioned about 45,000 Police personnel for the
State during the last few years. The first batch of
15,000 Policemen were expected to be inducted into the
force by November 2009.
Despite
their fervent efforts to regroup, the Maoists retain
a mere shadow of their pre-2006 presence in Andhra Pradesh.
It remains to be seen whether lacunae in development
and governance will give them the handle to pull their
‘revolution’ out of oblivion in the State again.
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Bihar:
Unremitting Rampage
Ajit Kumar Singh
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management
Despite
great optimism and a great enthusiasm unleashed by a number
of initiatives across a wide spectrum of policies by Chief
Minister Nitesh Kumar’s Government – after decades of
disastrous mismanagement under predecessor regimes, security
and Communist Party of India-Maoist (Maoist)
activities remain acute concerns in the State. With 72
fatalities in 2009 [South Asia Terrorism Portal
data till December 13], the level of Left Wing Extremism
(LWE) violence has remained at almost the same level as
2008, which accounted for 71 fatalities. Civilian fatalities
saw a marginal decline, but this was cancelled out by
the increase in the number of Security Forces (SFs) killed.
The total number of incidents recorded also demonstrated
a visible increase – with 143 in 2009 as compared to 114
in 2008.
LWE
related fatalities: 2004-2009
Year
|
Civilians
|
SFs
|
Naxalites
|
Total
|
2004
|
24
|
6
|
3
|
33
|
2005
|
25
|
29
|
52
|
106
|
2006
|
16
|
5
|
19
|
40
|
2007
|
23
|
21
|
5
|
49
|
2008
|
35
|
21
|
15
|
71
|
2009*
|
31
|
25
|
16
|
72
|
*Data
Till December 13, 2009
Source: South Asia Terrorism Portal Database
The highest
number of incidents were reported from Gaya District (38),
followed by Aurangabad (23) and Rohtas (10). It was, however,
Khagaria District which accounted for the largest number
of fatalities (16), followed by Rohtas (12) and Nawada
(10). While at least one incident was reported from 23
out of the 38 Districts in the State, fatalities were
registered in 12 Districts.
The major
incidents (in which three or more fatalities resulted)
of LWE related violence in Bihar through 2009 included:
February
9: At least 10 Policemen, including some from the Special
Auxiliary Police (SAP), were killed when more than 150
armed Maoist cadres launched a surprise attack on the
SF personnel who were providing security at a function
at Ravidas Ashram in the Mahuliatand village of Nawada
District. One injured Policeman also died later.
March 9:
Suspected cadres of the CPI-Maoist killed two women and
two children of a family by slitting their throats in
connection with a land dispute case at Pachubigha village
in the Arwal District.
March 16:
In retaliation to the lynching of a CPI-Maoist ‘commander’
on March 11, armed Maoists raided Khaira village in the
Lakhisarai District and shot three men dead and injured
two women.
April 23:
Four SF personnel and a civilian were killed in a landmine
explosion triggered by the CPI-Maoist near Karpoori Chowk
in the Mohabbatpur village of Muzaffarpur District. A
civilian driver also sustained serious injuries in the
blast.
August
22: Four Police personnel, including an Assistant Sub-Inspector,
were killed while two others sustained injuries when Maoists
attacked them at a place under Sono Police Station in
the Jamui District.
October
1-2: 16 civilians, including five children, were shot
dead by suspected CPI-Maoist cadres at Amosi Bharen Diara
village in the Khagaria District late in the night of
October 1.
December
7: Three persons were killed and many others wounded by
CPI-Maoist cadres in the Sheohar District.
Replying
on behalf of the State Government in the Legislative Assembly
on July 30, Energy Minister Vijendra Yadav disclosed that,
according to figures compiled by the Bihar Police, 137
Policemen lost their lives in violence perpetrated by
the CPI-Maoist between January 1, 2003, and May 31, 2009.
He also said that 197 rifles and 6,342 rounds of ammunition
were looted by the Maoists at different places in Bihar
during this period.
The Maoists
have also carried out acts of economic subversion targeting
State, public and private properties. As many as 30 incidents
of destruction of property were reported in 2009, including
several in which tractors and construction machinery required
for constructing buildings, bridges and roads, were destroyed.
Railway tracks, school buildings and Government offices
have also been blown up on several occasions. In one such
incident on September 2, about 60-armed cadres of the
CPI-Maoist attacked the base office of SPML Road Construction
Company under Chandramandi outpost of Chakai Police Station,
about 40 kilometres from the headquarters of Jamui District,
damaged payloaders and three trucks, set ablaze six vans
and damaged the store where construction materials were
kept. In another incident, the Maoists set ablaze a Railways
office at Banshipur Station of Lakhisarai District on
October 12 and destroyed the Railway panel room and traffic
control system. The Maoists also targeted mobile phone
towers in 13 separate incidents, as they believe that
the communication network was frequently used by security
agencies and their informers. 14 mobile towers of BSNL,
Airtel and Reliance telecommunications had been blown
up by the insurgents in the Aurangabad, Gaya, Arwal and
Rohtas Districts in 2008, according to Bihar Police data.
The Maoists also called for 24-hour bandhs (general
strike) on at least 10 occasions, adversely affecting
economic activity in the State.
Extortion
and looting by the Maoists remained endemic in Bihar,
undermining developmental works as well as the law-and-order
situation. On July 29, suspected CPI-Maoist cadres shot
dead a panchayat (village-level local self Government
institution) head in the Muzaffarpur District as he refused
to pay a ‘levy’ to the extremists. Earlier, on February
22, the armed cadres of the CPI-Maoist ransacked a village
and later killed the village headman, identified as Neeraj
Kumar Mukul, after dragging him out of his house in the
Rohua Panchayat under Shyampur Vatha Police Station of
Sheohar District. The Maoists are said to have a strong
cadre base in at least 50 villages of this area and regularly
collect money from extortion, the fake currency racket,
as well as ‘donations’ from villagers to run their operation.
In last five years, more than 12 village headmen have
been killed in the area. Extortion from various businesses
is also widespread. Thus, for instance, Amarendra Kumar
Bhagat aka Amar Ji Bhagat, a Maoist cadre arrested
in the night of November 20 from Jagdishpur Dhano village
under Paru Police Station in the Muzaffarpur District,
revealed that he was in charge of collecting INR 100,000
per month as ‘levy’ from road construction contractor
Chadda & Chadda.
Opium cultivation
is another source of Maoist revenue. On March 3, the SFs
destroyed a large quantity of opium in the CPI-Maoist
dominated Sankhwa village of Gaya District. "We got information
that there is a huge quantity of opium growing in this
field... We found around 10 acres under opium cultivation.
The entire village has been vacated. People have left
their houses. We are trying to find out the persons behind
this opium cultivation," Jay Prakash Pandit, a Police
official in Barachatti, disclosed. Police suspect Maoist
involvement.
Demonstrating
their strong presence in the Gaya District on February
26, about 50 armed CPI-Maoist cadres held a Jan Adalat
(People’s Court) in the Banke Bazaar area in the presence
of the heads of five village panchayats, who hailed
the 'effort' of the Maoists by raising pro-extremist slogans.
Reports also claimed that the Maoists were regularly holding
Jan Adalats at gun point in the District.
Vexed by
the spread of the Maoist menace, the Bihar Government
sought the inclusion of an additional four Maoist insurgency-affected
Districts under the Security Related Expenditure (SRE)
scheme, in addition to 15 (out of a total of 38) revenue
districts already covered by the scheme, the then Inspector
General of Police (IGP) Operations, S. K. Bharadwaj had
disclosed on August 21. The four Districts are Lakhisarai,
Munger, Buxar and Sheikhpura. The Centre has, however,
decided only to cover Munger, Bharadwaj added. Under the
SRE scheme, the expenditure incurred on security is reimbursed
by the Centre.
The SFs,
meanwhile, made some efforts to halt the Maoists progress.
On April 15, 11 CPI-Maoist cadres were killed and one
Border Security Force (BSF) trooper was injured during
a seven hour-long encounter at Dhansa Ghati in the Rohtas
District. The encounter occurred when more than 150 armed
CPI-Maoist cadres surrounded the BSF camp and opened fire.
In addition,
the SFs recovered large caches of arms and ammunition
from the Maoists from different places on as many as 15
occasions, significantly impacting their arsenal. In the
month of November 2009, Patna Police seized huge consignments
of explosives and chemicals. Police seized 900 kilograms
of explosives – 600 kilograms on November 8 and 300 kilograms
on November 7 – as well as 18 bags of explosives powder
on November 8, from a house in a residential locality
in Bhootnath Road. Besides, 300 bottles of chemicals for
preparing Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs), 7,221 live
cartridges, 50 detonators, parts for making 14 carbines,
and Maoist literature were also seized. Police suspect
that the consignment was to be supplied to Maoists in
Bihar and Jharkhand. Patna Police also arrested Subodh
Singh, who was wanted in connection with the recovery
of a haul of explosives besides rifles and cartridges
from Patna and Gaya in Bihar, and from Ranchi, Hazaribgah
and Bokaro in Jharkhand, during successive raids in November.
Over 250 cartridges made in China and Pakistan was found
concealed under the seat of an Ambassador car seized from
Subodh’s transport agency.
That the
Maoists in Bihar were in constant touch with the Maoists
in other States was once again established by the interrogation
of four persons who were arrested in Rohtas following
the seizure of a large quantity of ammonium nitrate. According
to a November 23 report, the arrestees revealed that huge
quantities of explosives seized by the Bihar Police from
different parts of Bihar and Jharkhand had mostly been
pushed in from Avadi in Pune (Maharashtra) and Srikakulam
in Andhra Pradesh. The recoveries, meanwhile, also revealed
that the Maoists were receiving arms and ammunition from
across the border. A November 15 report quoted a senior
Special Task Force officer saying that Chinese hand-grenades
covered in polythene bags were also made available to
the insurgents in large quantity. Besides, the Maoists
were in possession of hundreds of pistols made in China
and even in Pakistan. Chinese hand-grenades that look
like "peeled coconuts" were among some of the seizures
in Patna, Gaya and Bokaro in November, another report
said. Guns made in Bihar’s Munger District, a centre of
illegal arms factories for three decades, are also suspected
to have reached Maoists.
Following
the major seizures of arms and explosives, the CPI-Maoist
threatened to carry out bloody reprisals against the kin
of officers, ministers and politicians. A two-page statement
issued on November 18 in the name of Gopal, spokesperson
of the Bihar-Jharkhand-Orissa and Chhattisgarh Special
Area Committee of the CPI-Maoist, said the arms and explosives
seized by the Police were all basically meant to "protect
the defenceless people against the fresh wave of State
repression". The CPI-Maoist warned, "if Police feel
elated at the recent seizures, they should also prepare
themselves mentally to shed tears sooner than expected".
Earlier, on November 11, the Patna Police shifted the
Gaurichak Police Station, which was located in a remote
area, to a community hall adjacent to the National Highway,
for security reasons. According to official sources at
Police Headquarters in Patna, the Police Station was shifted
following intelligence reports warning that Police Stations
situated in deserted places could be attacked by the Maoists.
Nevertheless,
the successful drive by the SFs against the Maoists resulted
in the arrest of at least 117 Maoists, including two ‘zonal
commanders’ and seven ‘area commanders’, in the State
in 2009, giving some respite to the SFs. On February 25,
a senior CPI-Maoist commander and central committee member,
identified as Satyendra Kushwaha alias Naresh alias
Dadan, was arrested by Police from the Dalmianagar area
of Rohtas District. Satyendra, the Songanga-Vindhyachal
‘zonal commander’ of the outfit and in-charge of Rohtas,
Bhojpur, Kaimur and Buxar Districts, was wanted in several
cases of violence, including the 2005 Jehanabad jailbreak,
the killing of Police personnel in encounters and landmine
blasts. He was also operating in the Mirzapur, Chandauli
and Sonbhadra Districts of Uttar Pradesh and Garhwa District
of Jharkhand. According to a December 10 report, two Maoist
leaders wanted in both Bihar and Jharkhand for the last
two years, were arrested in Jamalpur by the Munger Police.
"Chetlal is a veteran guerrilla and head of the CPI-Maoist’s
clandestine ‘arms procurement and supply committee’. Kundan
is his accomplice and also a guerrilla trained in armed
warfare," Munger Superintendent of Police M. Sunil
Nayak revealed.
However,
in a setback to the Police, on June 23, 2009, CPI-Maoist
cadres ambushed a Police team at a court premises in the
Lakhisarai District and freed Misir Besra, a member of
the Maoist Central Military Commission (CMC) and Politburo,
after killing a Policeman and hurling bombs to scare away
people. The District Development Commissioner, Rajiv Ranjan,
who was sitting in his office adjacent to the court complex,
sustained splinter injuries as bombs were hurled freely
by nearly 30 Maoists who entered the court premises on
motorcycles. The ambush of the Police team took place
when Besra was being taken out of court. The Maoists also
snatched a carbine and two rifles from the Police escort
team. Earlier, on January 16, three CPI-Maoist cadres,
along with eight under-trial prisoners, escaped from the
Jammui District Civil Court premises, while they were
being brought to the Court for regular production. A group
of 50 Maoists waiting in the Court premises attacked the
Police party by throwing chilly powder. They also exploded
bombs as the Policemen tried to stop them. Three Police
personnel sustained injuries. In the ensuing chaos, three
Maoists, identified as Sunil Baitha, Paresh Hembram and
Vivek Yadav, escaped from Police custody.
On February
11, three cadres of the former Maoist Communist Centre,
which merged into the CPI-Maoist, identified as Vyas Kahar,
Naresh Paswan and Yugal Mochi, were sentenced to death,
while another three, identified as Tyagi Mahto, Vijay
Yadav and Madhusudan Sharma, were acquitted by a TADA
court in Gaya for the massacre of 35 persons at Bara village
in the Gaya District. The MCC's armed cadres brought the
35 persons from Bara to the bank of a nearby canal, tied
their hands and slit their throats on February 12, 1992.
Earlier, in 2001, a TADA court had sentenced another four
MCC cadres to death in the same case. The Judicial action
has given a boost to public confidence in the depleted
Police
force. The Police need a tremendous
infusion of capacities (both in terms of men and material)
within a clearly defined time frame.
According
to National Crime Records Bureau data (as on December
31, 2007), Bihar had a dismal 60 Policemen per 100,000
population, the lowest in the country, well below the
severely inadequate Indian average of 125 per 100,000.
Worse, this figure represented sanctioned posts, and there
was a 33.06 per cent gap between actual and sanctioned
Police strength in the State. Four Battalions of Central
Paramilitary Forces (CPMF) are also deployed in the State,
but this yields barely 1,600 CPMF personnel in actual
field deployments, a minuscule number for the State as
large, and as problematic, as Bihar.
Increasingly
focusing on recruitment to and modernisation of the Police,
the Bihar Government appears to have initiated some positive
moves. In a significant development,
the Bihar Government sent a proposal to Centre to set
up four Counter-Insurgency and Anti-Terrorism Schools
(CIATS) in the State. On October 27, the Union Government
sanctioned four schools to teach jungle warfare techniques
to Bihar Police personnel. These schools were expected
to become functional by end December 2009. The Union Government
is also to launch a programme in collaboration with the
Bihar Government for creating special infrastructure,
including the strengthening of Police stations and posts,
and the construction of roads and helipads, in the insurgency-affected
Districts. The programme would be launched in the Gaya
and Aurangabad Districts, to begin with. The programme
is to be extended to Arwal, Jehanabad, Jamui, Rohtas,
Bhojpur, East Champaran, West Champaran, Kaimur, Nalanda,
Nawada, Patna and Sitamarhi Districts in the next phase.
The Bihar
Government is revising its existing surrender and rehabilitation
policy for the Maoists to make it more attractive to insurgents
from the CPI-Maoist to lay down arms and ‘join the mainstream’,
Police officials said on October 16. Officials said the
Government felt the growing need to revise its surrender
policy following an alarming rise in incidents of Maoist
violence in the recent months. The existing surrender
policy provides for a financial support of INR 200,000
and additional payment of INR 100,000 if militants surrender
with arms. It also provides for a monthly stipend of INR
3,000 and free education to children, but this has failed
to attract significant numbers of Maoists so far. Over
the past four years, since this policy came into being,
less than 200 Maoists have surrendered in Bihar. The existing
policy, official sources said, was a particular failure
in attracting Maoists in their strongholds in Jehanabad,
Gaya, Aurangabad and Jamui. Statistics indicate that,
while 74 Maoists surrendered in 2005, the figure came
down to 21 in 2006. The years 2007 and 2008 registered
just another 21 and 29 surrenders, respectively, and till
March 2009 only two Maoists had surrendered. However,
15 CPI-Maoist cadres, involved in the killing of a Police
officer and looting of firearms from Police Stations,
surrendered in Rohtas District on October 30.
On October
19, 2009, Bihar IG (Operations) K. S. Dwivedi stated that
operations against the Maoists would intensify, while
tougher laws would be applied against those in custody.
"We have enforced the Unlawful Activities (Prevention)
Act against ultras, ensuring five years’ jail for them.
We will soon enforce Section 121 (waging war against the
state) of the Indian Penal Code against them. They may
well face sedition charges," Dwivedi asserted. He added
that Police were treating the Maoists as hardcore criminals
and had been pressing for speedy trials against them.
Of 274 Maoists facing trials since 2007, 10 have been
awarded death sentences and another 22 have received life
sentences in the State, Dwivedi disclosed. He also sought
at least 20 extra battalions of the Central Paramilitary
Forces (CPMFs) for anti-Maoist operations. At present,
a 400-member Special Task Force, 23 companies of the Central
Reserve Police Force, 16 Bihar Military Police battalions
and 7,000 Special Auxiliary Police personnel, besides
the usual Police forces, are tackling Maoists in the State.
These are,
without doubt, significant initiatives. However, they
are far from securing the critical mass of capacities
necessary to deal with the magnitude of the Maoist threat
in the State. The October massacre at Khagaria is a reminder
of the tremendous distance that remains to be travelled
in the battle against LWE in the State. Unfortunately,
there is still a proclivity in the political leadership
to pass the buck and dilute the responsibility of the
State Government. Thus, on October 13, Chief Minister
Nitish Kumar stated, "Naxalism was not only the problem
of a particular State, but also of society as a whole."
Police action, he said, "formed only a limited part" of
society’s response to the menace: "Naxalism is a problem
that has to be dealt with jointly by the community, the
State and Central Governments acting in harmonious coordination…
We will saturate the Naxal-prone areas with development."
With State
Assembly Election due in 2010, the regime of political
obfuscation and ambivalence will tend to intensify, even
as Maoist activities build up to influence and distort
the electoral outcome. The people of Bihar will have to
wait for far more effective governance before they can
consider themselves secure from the depredations of lawless
groups, including the Maoists, who have long dominated
the State.
|
Weekly
Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia
December
7-13,
2009
|
Civilian
|
Security
Force Personnel
|
Terrorist/Insurgent
|
Total
|
BANGLADESH
|
|
Left-wing Extremism
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
3
|
INDIA
|
|
Assam
|
7
|
0
|
4
|
11
|
Jammu and Kashmir
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
Manipur
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
3
|
Nagaland
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
Left-wing Extremism
|
|
Andhra Pradesh
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
Bihar
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
Chhattisgarh
|
3
|
0
|
7
|
10
|
Jharkhand
|
0
|
2
|
2
|
4
|
Uttar Pradesh
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
West Bengal
|
10
|
0
|
0
|
10
|
Total (INDIA)
|
26
|
2
|
18
|
46
|
PAKISTAN
|
|
FATA
|
5
|
3
|
61
|
69
|
NWFP
|
11
|
2
|
8
|
21
|
Punjab
|
55
|
0
|
5
|
60
|
Total (PAKISTAN)
|
71
|
5
|
74
|
150
|
Provisional
data compiled from English language media sources.
|

INDIA
More
Mumbai-like attacks likely,
warns former US Homeland Security
Secretary Chertoff: Top
United States (US) security
expert and former Secretary
of Homeland Security, the
Department that was created
after 9/11, said on December
7 that more Mumbai-like attacks
were likely to happen in the
future, and that the challenge
before India was to integrate
fully all elements of domestic
security for dealing with
terrorism. "In Mumbai attacks
we have seen evolving the
tactic of using weapons and
bombs together in a commando
like operation and how dangerous
such an attack could be. Such
attacks are likely to happen
more and the challenge before
everybody is to be able to
deal with them," said Chertoff,
while delivering a lecture
on terrorism and the threat
to India.
Times
of India,
December 8, 2009.
Bangladesh
terrorist outfit plans to
target Mumbai, say intelligence
sources: Intelligence
agencies are working on inputs
that Jama'atul Mujahideen
Bangladesh (JMB) militants
may be in Mumbai and Hyderabad
to work on terror plots in
these two cities. The JMB,
officials said, had been facing
problems ever since the change
of Government in Bangladesh.
"The Sheikh Hasina-led Awami
League has shown much greater
sensitivity to India's concerns
than the previous Bangladesh
Nationalist Party Government
of Begum Khaleda Zia. Reports
here indicate that the JMB
is trying to expand operations
to western and southern India
because it is under intense
pressure in its homeland,"
a senior Home department official
said.
Meanwhile,
security agencies have also
received intelligence inputs
that some JMB militants have
been pushed into Sri Lanka,
from where they plan to enter
India by sea. "Increased surveillance
and cooperation by Indian
and Bangladeshi forces along
the border is forcing them
to look for other routes to
enter India," an official
said. The Intelligence Bureau,
in an alert, has said at least
30 suspected JMB militants
had reached the Negombo area
in Sri Lanka and were being
assisted by narco-peddler
Jaleel alias Ravi.
Times
of India,
December 10, 2009.
Naga
groups reject "conditional
political package" from Union
Government:The
Joint Working Group (JWG)
formed by the National Socialist
Council of Nagaland-Isak-Muivah
(NSCN-IM), National Socialist
Council of Nagaland-Khaplang
(NSCN-K) and the Naga National
Council, on December 9, said
it would not accept any "conditional
political package" from the
Union Government. The report
adds that the Union Ministry
of Home Affairs (MHA) had
earlier said it would offer
a set of political proposals
to the Naga groups by the
end of December to form the
basis of future peace talks
for an acceptable and honourable
settlement to the vexed political
conflict. "To clarify doubts
arising out of recent statements
made by the Government of
India, the JWG hereby recommit
ourselves to uphold, respect
and honour the principles
of a joint declaration signed
on September 28 in which we
jointly reject any form of
conditional package offered
to the Nagas by the Centre,"
a JWG statement said.
Assam
Tribune,
December 10, 2009.

NEPAL
Maoists
declare Limbuwan and Kochila
autonomous States: Notwithstanding
extensive national and international
concerns, the Unified Communist
Party of Nepal-Maoist (Unified
CPN-Maoist) declared autonomous
Kochila and Laimbuwan States
on December 11. The Unified
CPN-Maoist made the announcement
as part of its third phase
protest. The Maoists declared
Kochila State by lighting
candles amid a function organised
at Birtamod in Jhapa District
where the party central leaders
Netra Bikram Chand and Haribol
Gajurel were also present.
The Kochila State includes
Jhapa, Morang and Sunsari
Districts. Likewise, it also
declared Limbuwan autonomous
State at Myaglung of Terhathum
District under the leadership
of party central leader Suresh
Ale Magar on the first day
of its autonomous States declaration.
Leader Magar said border of
the Limbuwan State, however,
has not been delineated. He
also said the border of the
State would be finalised later
after border discussion within
the party. He warned that
the Maoists would declare
parallel Government if the
Government failed to address
their demands by December
22. Further, Unified CPN-Maoist
Chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal
alias Prachanda accused
that the Government is bent
on killing some Maoist leaders.
Kantipur
Online,
December 12, 2009.

PAKISTAN
61
militants and five civilians
among 69 persons killed during
the week in FATA: Seven
Taliban militants were killed
as skirmishes between the
Security Forces (SFs) and
insurgents continued in the
Kurram tribal region of Federally
Administered Tribal Areas
(FATA) on December 13, military
and intelligence sources said.
Two soldiers also died in
the fighting, officials said.
At
least 10 Taliban militants,
including a ‘commander’ wanted
by Police in several incidents
of sabotage and insurgency,
were killed during the military
operation in Kurram Agency
on December 12. In addition,
10 militants were killed while
more than 150 suspects arrested
in Bara tehsil (revenue
division) of Khyber Agency.
The
SFs killed at least 17 Taliban
militants in the ongoing military
operations in FATA. In Orakzai
Agency, nine Taliban militants,
including a local Taliban
‘commander’, Bacha Akbar,
were killed. In addition,
seven militants were killed
and 20 others injured when
troops clashed with the Lashkar-e-Islam
in the Shalobar area of Bara
tehsil in the Khyber
Agency.
On
December 10, the SFs killed
15 Taliban militants in ongoing
operations in Khyber Agency
and South Waziristan Agency.
The SFs targeted militant
hideouts in the Bara tehsil
of Khyber, killing 10 militants
in the Zava area of Tirah
valley, official sources said.
Also, the SFs killed five
militants, while a trooper
was killed in the clashes
in South Waziristan.
Three
Taliban militants were killed
in the military operation
in the Bajaur Agency on December
9. The militants were killed
in clashes between SFs and
militants in the Chinar area
in Nawagai tehsil.
A
US missile strike killed at
least three civilians in a
village near Mir Ali, a main
town in North the Waziristan
near the Afghanistan border
of FATA on December 8. The
official sources also confirmed
that the missiles destroyed
a car carrying three people.
Eight
Taliban militants were killed
and several others sustained
injuries in different areas
of Bajaur Agency on December
7. The official sources added
that fighter jets pounded
suspected hideouts of insurgents
in Kharkay, Gotki, Anga and
Banda areas in which four
militants were killed and
several others injured. Further,
three militants were killed
when explosives stored in
a house went off in the Damadola
area in the Mamond sub-division.
The house was reportedly being
used by militants as their
hideout and was completely
destroyed in the blast. Dawn;
Daily
Times;
The
News,
December 8-14, 2009.
11
civilians and 8 militants
among 21 persons killed during
the week in NWFP: Bonair
Khan, a close aide of Sufi
Muhammad, was killed with
three other associates as
they tried to escape from
the Army’s Red Fort in Maidan
area of Lower Dir in the North
West Frontier Province (NWFP)
on December 12. It has been
reported that Bonair Khan
had masterminded several suicide
bombings, target killings
and attacks on Security Forces
(SFs) and facilitated the
Taliban in various attacks.
SFs
killed four Taliban militants
and arrested two others in
the ongoing military operations
in the Swat District on December
11.
In
addition, a suicide bomber
blew himself up outside a
court in Peshawar, the provincial
capital of NWFP, killing nine
people, including two Policemen,
and injuring 50 others on
December 7. It was the second
suicide attack on a court
in the city in three weeks.
Dawn;
Daily
Times;
The
News,
December 8-14, 2009.
Twin
bomb blasts kill 45 people
in Lahore: Two
bomb blasts killed at least
45 people and injured more
than 100 others at the crowded
Moon Market in Allama Iqbal
area of Lahore on December
7. The two bombs exploded
30 seconds apart at 8:45pm
(PST). The first blast occurred
outside a plaza housing a
branch of the Muslim Commercial
Bank, while the other outside
the Allama Iqbal Town Police
Station, situated across the
road. The Police and Bomb
Disposal Squad personnel on
December 8 said that the twin
blasts at Moon Market in Allama
Iqbal Town of Lahore were
suicide attacks.
Daily
Times,
December 8-9, 2009.
Pakistan
must help US more against
al Qaeda, says US President
Barak Obama: Pakistan
must cooperate more fully
with the United States (US)
to help wipe out al Qaeda,
the US President Barack Obama
said in excerpts of a weekend
interview on December 11.
In the interview with media,
Barack Obama said the tribal
militants that straddle the
border between Afghanistan
and Pakistan were the "epicenter
of the violent extremism directed
against the West... and the
United States." "Ultimately,
in order for us to eradicate
the problem, to really go
after al-Qaeda... we are going
to need more cooperation from
Pakistan. There is no doubt
about that," Barack Obama
added.
The
Jang,
December 8, 2009.

SRI LANKA
New
Tamil group People’s Liberation
Army vows to start a fresh
war: A
Marxist group of Tamil militants
with connections to the Palestinian
Liberation Organisation and
Cuba is preparing to mount
a new insurgency in Sri Lanka.
The People's Liberation Army
(PLA) was founded in eastern
Sri Lanka in August and has
vowed to launch attacks against
Government and military targets
unless its demands for a separate
Tamil homeland are met. "This
war isn't over yet," Commander
Kones, head of the PLA's Eastern
District military command,
told The Times during
a night meeting in a safe
house in the east of the country
last week. "There has been
no solution for Tamils since
the destruction of the LTTE
[Liberation Tigers of Tamil
Eelam] in May. So we have
built and organised the PLA
and are ready to act soon.
Our aim is a democratic socialist
liberation of the northeast
for a Tamil Eelam [the desired
Tamil state]." "We are getting
stronger by the day, much
stronger than any other group,"
Kones said, adding, "The day
of action is close."
Times
Online,
December 8, 2009.
We
want federal solution, says
Tamil National Alliance: The
Tamil National Alliance (TNA)
said on December 8 that a
political solution based on
federalism was foremost among
their conditions for supporting
either of the two main candidates
at the presidential election.
The TNA leader R. Sampanthan
has already held negotiations
with President Mahinda Rajapakse
and General Sarath Fonseka,
but the party has not yet
to decide on its final stand.
Besides, the party, which
has 22 Members of Parliament
(MPs), has also asked for
the speedy resettlement of
the displaced civilians, the
scaling down of troops stationed
in the Jaffna peninsula, the
removal of High Security Zones
and the withdrawal of plans
to set up military camps in
the Wanni area.
Suresh
Premachandran, the party's
MP for the Jaffna District,
told Daily Mirror that his
party was awaiting responses
from the two main presidential
hopefuls on their stands regarding
a political solution to the
‘Tamil national question’.
Premachandran said that neither
of them appeared to be clear
about his position in this
respect. "We want to see what
they can offer to the Tamil
people in terms of a political
solution. There are talks
about the 13th Amendment.
Nevertheless, it has been
implemented sans Police and
land powers. So why do they
talk about the 13th Amendment?"
he asked. Responding to a
query about TNA MP M. K. Sivajilingam
stressing the need for a common
Tamil candidate, Premachandran
said that a majority of the
members had not been in favour
of such an arrangement. "If
the two main candidates do
not respond positively to
our demands, we shall have
to look for other alternatives.
Anyway most members are not
in favour of fielding a common
Tamil candidate. Sivajilingam
has not discussed this with
the party either," he added.
Daily
Mirror,
December 10, 2009.
The South
Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that
brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on
terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on
counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on
related economic, political, and social issues, in the South
Asian region.
SAIR is a project
of the Institute
for Conflict Management
and the
South
Asia Terrorism Portal.
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