A Withering Green, PFI: Extremist Urges :: South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR),Vol. No. 9.20
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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 9, No. 20, November 22, 2010

Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal


ASSESSMENT

 

INDIA
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A Withering Green
Fakir Mohan Pradhan
Research Assistant, Institute for Conflict Management

The Union Ministry of Home Affairs’ (MHA) rhetoric during the early months of the United Progressive Alliance II (UPA II) Government, about facing down the Communist party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) squarely excited great enthusiasm in the media, and a ‘massive crackdown’ on the Maoists was much awaited. A ‘clear, hold and develop strategy’ was projected by the MHA, and an impression created that major operations were imminent. Some Central Forces were shuffled about, and an ‘intensification of operations’ did occur, but, insufficiently thought out, the strategy quickly backfired, producing massive Security Forces (SF) fatalities.

At about the same time, the Chhattisgarh Police, along with the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) Combat Battalion for Resolute Action (CoBRA, also known as the Special Action Force, SAF) launched an operation against the Maoists in the Dantewada District in September 2009, christening it Operation Green Hunt (OGH). The name stuck with the media, and every anti-Maoist operation anywhere in the country was quickly dubbed OGH, and attributed to the Centre’s ‘massive and coordinated operations’.

Thus, when 18 companies of the Central Paramilitary Forces (CPMFs) were deployed in Maoist infested areas close to the tri-junction of Maharashtra-Andhra Pradesh-Chhattisgarh in the first week of November 2009, this was reported as the beginning of the first phase of OGH. However, Police later clarified that this operation merely signalled the observance of ‘Police Week’. Again, on December 3, 2009, against the backdrop of anti-Maoist operations in Chhattisgarh it was widely reported that the Centre had launched its ‘major offensive’ against the Maoists in Chhattisgarh. The MHA again denied this, insisting that what was being witnessed was nothing but an "intensification" of earlier operations.

By December 18, 2009, when Jharkhand Assembly polls were coming to an end, the Union Government was set to send an additional 17,000 CPMFs to Maoist affected States to step up their anti-Naxalite [Left Wing Extremism] operations under its planned "major offensive". The idea was to have simultaneous operations at the junctions and tri-junctions of the affected States of Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa (now known as Odisha), Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Maharashtra. A senior MHA official said the States already had 58,000 CPMFs — drawn from the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF), Border Security Force, Indo Tibetan Border Police, Sashastra Seema Bal and SAF — at their command. The additional deployment would increase the strength of CPMFs to nearly 75,000 [these calculations are based on full battalion strengths. Actual field deployments are roughly 40 per cent of these numbers]. An unnamed CRPF officer, stating that there were in for the "long haul", disclosed, "Operations are supposed to be launched secretly so that the forces can catch the ultras off guard. We are on the job and we will expand the area of operation gradually."

Roughly one year after the purported launch of the "major offensive", it was claimed on October 7, 2010, that Security Forces (SFs) had regained control over more than 10,000 square kilometres areas dominated by the Naxals in the six worst-affected States. Official sources described the success of the SFs as "very significant" as nearly 40,000 square kilometres had been ‘controlled’ by the Maoists in Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Orissa, Bihar, West Bengal and Andhra Pradesh ‘for the last several years’. The source claimed, "We have got maximum gain in Chhattisgarh. We hope that the success will continue in the coming days." An earlier MHA report had claimed that, till June 2010, the SFs had managed to destroy as many as 120 Maoist training camps.

A circular issued by Maoist Central Committee spokesperson Abhay on the occasion of "party formation day" on September 21, conceded some reverses:

Starting from May 2009 to July 2010, eight topmost comrades, including politburo member and beloved leader Azad and ten state level comrades had either been caught and killed by the enemy, or had been put behind bars. Many leadership comrades from district level to lower ranks were either arrested or killed. These losses had all affected our party and movement seriously. Particularly, losing comrade Azad who had been fulfilling key responsibilities in the highest committee and had been rendering multi-faceted services most efficiently in many fields is a great loss.

Nevertheless, Abhay declared, the party was optimistic that "revolutionary movement had been giving birth to new leadership constantly and it will do so again. As long as masses need a revolution, they give birth to its leaders too".

These gains, however, have largely been the consequence of quiet, intelligence-based operations, rather than the ‘area domination’ or ‘clear and hold’ approach, that had been projected as the Centre’s operational strategy. The claim of having ‘recovered’ 10,000 square kilometres area from Maoists, moreover, loses credibility as it there is no clear identification of the areas supposedly reclaimed, or prior identification of areas allegedly controlled by the Maoists. The combined forces battling the Maoists in the seven worst-affected States have also had little success in keeping fatalities – and particularly civilian and SF casualties – down.

Fatalities in Left Wing Extremist Violence, 2008-2010*

Years
Civilians
SFs
Naxals
Total
2008
210
214
214
638
2009
391
312
294
997
2010*
571
262
230
1063
Source: SATP
*Data till November 21

Significantly, total fatalities in 2010 have already crossed the 2009 mark, with over a month still to go. Civilian fatalites have risen dramatically, from 210 in 2008, to 391 in 2009, and 554 in 2010. Clearly, the Maoists have not been strikingly hindered in hitting civilian targets. SF and Maoist fatalities show some declines, suggesting diminishing direct engagement between the two Forces between 2009 and 2010. Evidently, far from ‘intensifying’ their offensive, the SFs have been forced to go slow in the wake of a series of setbacks they have suffered, even as the Maoists have become more careful to preserve their strength in the unequal fight they are waging. [MHA data puts the total fatalities in 2010 (till October 31) in Left Wing Extremist Violence at 974 against the previous year’s total of 908 (or 1,125). The MHA released two different figures on different occasions for 2009].

Despite their reverses, the Maoists have been able to mount dramatic attacks on the SFs since the ‘offensive’ or ‘intensification of operations’ was initiated by the Centre. The attacks on CRPF personnel at Chintalnad in Dantewada in Chhattisgarh on April 6, 2010, in which 75 CRPF personnel and one State Policeman were killed; the attack at Chingavaram in Dantewada on May 17, 2010, in which 44 persons – 16 Security Forces (SF) personnel and 28 civilians – were killed; the ambush near the CRPF’s Dhudhai base camp in Narayanpur District, Chhattisgarh, on June 29, 2010, in which 27 CRPF personnel were killed; the encounter in Lakhisarai District, Bihar, on August 29, 2010, in which eight SF personnel were killed; and the attack on the Eastern Frontier Rifles (EFR) camp at Shilda in West Midnapore District, West Bengal, on February 15, 2010 in which 24 EFR personnel were killed; are the most dramatic in a wider series of Maoist attacks on SF targets. A circular issued by Abhay lists the major Maoist successes against the SFs during this period and concludes,

… particularly the historical Mukram (Tadimetla) [Chintalnad] attack had broken down the initiative of the enemy and increased that of the guerrilla forces. These attacks had armed the PLGA with more weapons and new experiences in guerrilla war. Tadimetla experience is of the highest level of all these.

There is some evidence, moreover, of a growing Maoist consolidation on the ground. On October 1, 2010, Union Home Minister P. Chidambaram disclosed that 21 persons had been executed in full public view by the CPI-Maoist in kangaroo courts during the year, till August 31, 2010. This is far higher than the 11 persons executed in such actions during the corresponding period of 2009. The number of kangaroo courts reported to have been held by the CPI-Maoist grew to 48, till August 2010, from 38 in the corresponding period of 2009. Maoist violence has also been extended into at least two new Districts – Nabarangpur of Odisha and Mahasamund District of Chhattisgarh – during this period.

The claim that the SFs have made their ‘maximum gain’ in Chhattisgarh also holds little water. SATP data on major Maoist Incidents (involving three or more fatalities) indicates that, out of a total of 32 such incidents in Chhattisgarh in 2009, the Maoists took the offensive in 18. In 2010, thus far, only 17 major incidents have been recorded, in which the SFs took the initiative in just seven; five of these came before the April 6 Chintalnad massacre. After Chintalnad, the SFs have relinquished the initiative, and the Maoists have led the offensive in another nine incidents. The retreat of the SFs into a posture of passive defence is the principal reason for the significant reduction in major incidents in 2010 in Chhattisgarh.

Worse, the SFs have also conceded a huge psychological and strategic gain to the Maoists when the Centre decided to shift the CRPF Zonal Headquarters from Raipur (capital of Chhattisgarh) to Kolkata "for reasons of safety" in the wake of killing of 27 CRPF personnel in the Narayanpur District, Chhattisgarh, on June 29, 2010.

It has been the intelligence-based operations, overwhelmingly led by the Andhra Pradesh Police, which have resulted in the most significant damage to the Maoist structure, particularly through the neutralization of eight top Maoists (and a number of lesser commanders) over the May 2009 – October 2010 period. These top leaders include: Patel Sudhakar Reddy, killed in Andhra Pradesh on May 24, 2009; Shakarmuri Appa Rao, killed in Andhra Pradesh on March 12, 2010; Kobad Gandhy, arrested in Delhi on September 21, 2009; Banshidhar alias Chintan Da, arrested in Uttar Pradesh on February 8, 2010; Ravi Sharma, arrested in Jharkhand on October 10, 2009; Amitabha Bagchi, arrested in Jharkhand on August 24, 2009; Cherukuri Rajkumar aka Azad, killed in Andhra Pradesh on July 2, 2010; and J. Narisimha Reddy, arrested in Jharkhand on August 8, 2010. Despite their geographical dispersal across the country, the Andhra Pradesh Police was involved in most of these cases. Crucially, it was not the numerical strength of Andhra Pradesh Police (the Force has a police population ratio of just 99, as against the severely deficient national average of 128 per 100,000), but years of investment in developing an intelligence network that underpins these successes.

Conspicuously, the Centre’s much-vaunted ‘massive and coordinated operations’ have lost momentum because of their inherently false assumptions and inaccurate assessments. Unless drastic changes are now made in the orientation and execution of anti-Maoist operations, reconciling these to the realities of the ground, the state will fail to recover the initiative. Regrettably, there is no coherent evidence of such a crystallization of strategy and Forces, and a bloody and extended confrontation remains inescapable, belying the MHA’s rhetoric claiming that the state "will control the situation in 2 to 3 years".

INDIA
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PFI: Extremist Urges
Shrideep Biswas
Research Assistant, Institute for Conflict Management

A November 2, 2010, CNN-IBN report, citing the Intelligence Bureau (IB), claimed that the Popular Front of India (PFI), a confederation of Islamic Organisations, was collaborating with the banned Islamist terrorist Students Islamic Movement of India (SIMI). The report stated, further, that organisations such as the Citizen's Forum in Goa, Community Social and Educational Society of Rajasthan, Nagrik Adhikar Suraksha Samiti (Committee for the Protection of Citizens’ Right) in West Bengal, Liong Social Forum in Manipur and the Association of Social Justice in Andhra Pradesh were all part of PFI's growing network.

An earlier report quoting Uttar Pradesh (UP) intelligence officials on August 23, 2010, had indicated that the PFI’s presence had been noticed in about a dozen Districts in the eastern and western regions of the State, and the organisation was especially active in areas which were already identified as ‘communally sensitive’ and had witnessed communal clashes in the past. According to the report the warnings came after the recovery of a large number of "objectionable" posters from UP’s Barabanki and Muzaffarnagar Districts a few days earlier. The posters contained an appeal to Muslims to fight the "forces" which were behind the blasts at Mecca Masjid (May 18, 2007), Ajmer (October 11, 2007) and Malegaon (September 8, 2006). It added, further, that the organisation was particularly active in the Azamgarh District, which achieved notoriety in connection with a succession of terrorist attacks and activities across the country in the past. Notably, the Ahmedabad 2008 serial blasts mastermind Mufti Abul Bashir Islahi was from Azamgarh. Some of the youth killed in Delhi’s Batla House encounter on September 25, 2008, were also residents of Azamgarh. Azamgarh had earlier been linked with a number of terrorist incidents and activities. According to partial data compiled by the Institute for Conflict Management, a total of 24 militants of various outfits have been arrested from the District in nine incidents since 2001. Praveen Swami notes that Maulana Abdul Aleem Islahi — a prominent Hyderabad-based cleric who had graduated from Azamgarh's well-known Seminary, Madrasat-ul-Islah, was the key figure behind the formation of the Indian Mujahideen (IM), and the ideological mentor to many young radicals who played a key role in the jihadi movement in India. Among the prominent alumni of the jihadi cells operating in Azamgarh were – Abdul Subhan Qureshi, fugitive IM ‘commander’; Mohammed Arif Badruddin Shaikh alias Arif Badar alias Laddan an IM cadre (now in the custody of Mumbai Police); Salman Ahmad, one of a string of alleged jihadis associated with the Lashkar-e-Taiba's so-called "Karachi Project; among others. Further, Sadiq Israr Sheikh, the key organiser of the Indian Mujahideen network in Nehru Nagar, a suburb of Mumbai, was born in 1978 to working-class parents from Azamgarh. A September 20, 2008, report noted that Azamgarh had earned notoriety as a nursery of terror, and had provided a very fertile ground for SIMI and other such outfits to flourish.

Meanwhile, in response to the CNN-IBN report, a letter was issued by K. M. Shareef, General Secretary of PFI to Rajdeep Sardesai, the Editor of the Channel, on November 4, stating that the State organisations mentioned in the report had merged with the PFI way back in February 2009, and were, therefore, now non-existent. Shareef, however, denied any PFI links with SIMI, and blamed the Sangh Parivar (the coalition of Hindu Right Wing Organisations) and their supposed infiltration of the IB, for the allegations. He interpreted the gradual spread of PFI over India as a sign of the backward Muslim community moving forward on the path to empowerment.

PFI had been growing steadily in Kerala, but was catapulted into the headlines after its cadres waylaid and brutally attacked and maimed T. J. Joseph, a lecturer at Newman College in Moovattupuzha, a town in Ernakulam District, on July 4, 2010. Joseph’s right hand was hacked for preparing a question paper with alleged derogatory reference to Prophet Mohammad, offending Muslim religious sentiments.

A day later, on July 5, two PFI cadres, Ashraf and Jaffer, were arrested and remanded to judicial custody for their alleged involvement in the incident. Another two cadres, Sajeer and Kamaruddhin, were arrested on July 8. On July 13, a dentist named Rinees and Abdul Salam, a Divisional Secretary of PFI, were also arrested in the case and on charges of sedition, along with 20 other PFI activists from different parts of Kerala. On the same day, Police seized country-made bombs, weapons and incriminating material in raids at the offices of the PFI and its political arm, the Social Democratic Party of India (SDPI) from Kozhikode in Kerala. Again, on August 6, Yunus, a ‘divisional leader’ of the PFI, was arrested and remanded to judicial custody by a magistrate court in Moovattupuzha. Meanwhile, the Special Investigation Team probing the assault on T. J. Joseph issued summons to Abdul Hamid (PFI Kerala State General Secretary), P. Koya (PFI National Executive member and editor of PFI mouthpiece, Thejas) and Nasiruddin Elamaram (PFI Kerala State President), for questioning in connection with the case. On September 8, the Kerala High Court dismissed the bail applications of seven of the 27 PFI cadres arrested in connection with the attack.

Further, Rakesh Maira, chief of the Maharashtra Anti Terrorism Squad (ATS) told journalists in Mumbai that Himayat Baig, the alleged mastermind of the German Bakery blast (February 13, 2010) in Pune, arrested by the ATS on September 7, became a member of the PFI to recruit and send youth for training to Pakistan.

There is significant cumulative evidence of progressive extremism in the PFI. Worryingly, the Asom United Democratic Front (AUDF), led by perfume magnate Maulana Badruddin Ajmal, has declared solidarity with the group. The AUDF, with 11 MLAs in the 126-member Assam legislature, is a significant player in Assam politics. Political midgets like the Milli Ettehad Parishad in West Bengal and the Tamil Nadu Muslim Munnetra Kazhgam (TMMK) have also joined the PFI-led national alliance of Muslim groups and parties.

The PFI was formed in November 22, 2006, when three organisations, the National Development Front (NDF) of Kerala, the Manitha Neethi Pasarai (MNP) of Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka Forum for Dignity (KDF), merged together. The PFI and the SDPI, which already have a significant following in Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka, have set up committees in 15 States, over the past two years, according to reports.

The PFI denies any communal agenda, and its constitution declares dissatisfaction over the failure of the existing socio-economic models of development in alleviating the poverty and backwardness of the people of the country and over the lack of equity, and the deprivation of the masses, especially religious and linguistic minorities. It also claims to act as a pressure group, coordinate the activities of several cognate organisations which are operating in isolation and to provide a common platform for all. The organization claims frustration with the Indian state and its ‘collusion’ with neo-colonial, fascist and racist forces; expresses solidarity with the Dalits (scheduled caste), tribals, religious, linguistic and cultural minorities, backward classes and women. According to PFI sources, its activists conducted nation-wide health awareness programs and relief operations during floods in north Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Bihar and Assam in 2009 and volunteered in relief operations in Kerala and Tamil Nadu during the Tsunami disaster in December 2004. PFI offers career counseling, distributes educational aids and study material, and runs motivational programmes like the School Chalo (come to school) campaign every summer, and organizes medical camps.

The communist Government of Kerala has, however, recognized a threat in the activities and growth of PFI. V.S. Achuthanandan, the State’s Chief Minister and a Politburo member of the Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M), at a press conference in New Delhi on July 24, 2010, declared that the PFI and its allies were plotting to make Kerala a "Muslim-dominated" State within 20 years: "For achieving that goal, the outfit is pumping money to attract youth and giving them weapons… Youngsters are being given money and lured to convert to marry Muslim women..." On August 4, 2010, Kerala's Education Minister M. A. Baby declared that the State Government would ban the Freedom Parade, an event organized by the PFI on August 15, India’s Independence Day, every year, where its cadres, dressed in uniforms similar to para military organisations, carry out synchronized marches across cities of Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, in the light of the attack on Joseph. On September 6, the Kerala Government informed the State High Court that investigators had obtained evidence regarding PFI’s connection with terrorist outfits such as the Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM), Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) and al Qaeda. The submission in this regard was made by R. Rajashekharan Nair, Deputy Secretary (Home) in a counter affidavit filed in a Public Interest Litigation by a citizen, Gireesh Babu, seeking a ban on the PFI and the handover of the investigation into the attack on the lecturer to the National Investigation Agency.

The PFI has denied these allegations and accused the Chief Minister of trying to spread misunderstanding. The organisation declares it has no intention of creating an Islamic State by eliminating the Hindu majority in the country and challenged the Chief Minister to prove that the documents cited against the PFI were taken from any leaflet, publication or speech of any of its leaders.

The Kerala State Government and the Union Government are yet to arrive at a consensus about their stance towards the PFI. On September 26, the Union Home Secretary, G. K. Pillai stated that the State Police was aware of the activities of the PFI and it was under close watch, but there had been no discussion about banning the outfit. What is clear, however, is that the communal equilibrium in ‘God’s own country’ is under increasing threat from the progressive radicalization of the PFI and its cognate groups.


NEWS BRIEFS

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia
November 15-21, 2010

 

Civilians

Security Force Personnel

Terrorists/Insurgents

Total

INDIA

  

Jammu &      Kashmir

2
0
2
4

Manipur

0
0
1
1

Meghalaya

2
0
0
2

Left-wing Extremism

  

Andhra Pradesh

2
0
0
2

Bihar

8
2
0
10

Jharkhand

4
0
1
5

Orissa

2
0
0
2

West Bengal

3
0
0
3

Total (INDIA)

23
2
4
29

NEPAL

1
0
0
1

PAKISTAN

  

Balochistan

2
1
0
3

FATA

3
0
59
62

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

4
0
10
14

Total (PAKISTAN)

9
1
69
79
Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.


INDIA

105 persons killed in terrorist activities in Jammu and Kashmir till October 31, 2010: About 105 persons, including Security Force (SF) personnel and civilians, were killed in terrorist activities in Jammu and Kashmir till October 2010 as against 123 persons during the same period in 2009, the Government said on November 16. "In the State of Jammu and Kashmir there were 432 incidents upto October 31, 2010 in which 66 Security Force personnel and 39 civilians have been killed, as compared to 437 incidents during the corresponding period of 2009, in which 52 Security Force personnel and 71 civilians were killed," Union Minister of State for Home Affairs Ajay Maken told Lok Sabha (Lower House of Parliament). He said available reports indicate that Pakistan or Pakistan occupied Kashmir based Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) sponsored terrorist outfits have been involved in a number of terrorist incidents. Daily Excelsior, November 17, 2010.

65 civilians and 18 SFs killed in Northeast up to October 31, 2010: The Union Minister of State for Home Affairs Ajay Maken on November 16 said in the Lok Sabha (Lower House of the Parliament) that a total of 660 incidents have taken place during the period of January 1, 2010 and October 31, 2010 in North Eastern States. "The number of civilians killed, in the North Eastern Region; up to October 31, 2010 is 65 as compared to 225 civilians killed during the corresponding period of 2009. Similarly, the number of Security Forces (SFs) killed up to October 31, 2010 in the North East Region is 18, whereas 36 SFs were killed during the corresponding period in 2009," Maken said. Daily Excelsior, November 17, 2010.

426 intrusion bids in Jammu and Kashmir till September 30, 2010: Total 426 infiltration attempts have been reported from Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) and seven soldiers killed in thwarting the attempts till September 2010, the Lok Sabha (Lower House of Parliament) was informed on November 15. 37 terrorists have also been killed in the period, Defence Minister A. K. Antony said in a written reply. He added that 342 cases of infiltration attempts were reported in 2008 from the State while it increased to 485 in 2009. Daily Excelsior, November 16, 2010.

26/11 attackers wanted separate State for Muslims, says Government counsel Ujjwal Nikam: Government counsel Ujjwal Nikam told the Bombay High Court on November 19 that the Pakistani Lashkar-Toiba (LeT) terrorist Mohammad Ajmal Amir Kasab, the lone arrested terrorist in the November 26, 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks (also known as 26/11), and his companions were instructed by their LeT handlers in Pakistan on telephone to hold as many hostages as possible during the terrorist attacks to demand from the Indian Government the creation of a "separate state for Muslims". He said that LeT handlers had also advised the attackers to identify themselves as Indian Muslims belonging to Indian Mujahideen and hide the fact that they had come from Pakistan. Nikam added that these informations were contained in the intercepts of telephonic conversations the handlers in Pakistan had with the terrorists during the 26/11 attacks. PTI News, November 20, 2010.

Government rules out interlocutors for talks with Maoists: Government of India, on November 16, ruled out appointment of any interlocutor to start dialogue with the Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist). "There is no proposal to appoint interlocutors to start a dialogue with the Left Wing Extremists," Union Minister of State for Home, Ajay Maken informed the Lok Sabha (Lower House of Parliament). However, the Minister said the Government has given a call to the extremists to abjure violence and come for talks. Times of India, November 17, 2010.


PAKISTAN

59 militants and three civilians among 62 persons killed during the week in FATA: 15 militants were killed and several others injured when Security Forces (SFs) targeted their hideouts in the Hazeri and Koy Kaley areas of the Orakzai Agency in Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) on November 21. In addition, six militants were killed when a US drone missiles hit into a compound in Khaddi village, 15 kilometers east of Miranshah, the main town in North Waziristan Agency.

Seven militants were killed and 21 others injured as SFs backed by helicopter gunships and artillery targeted militant’s hideouts in Garhai and Kareerh areas of Safi tehsil (revenue unit) and Aman Kot and Yarakhel areas of Baizai tehsil in Mohmand Agency on November 19. Separately, four militants were killed when US drone missiles targeted a moving vehicle near Marsi Khel village close to Afghanistan border in North Waziristan Agency. Also, a woman and two children were killed and eight others injured when the Taliban militants fired missiles from within Afghanistan side on the Shalozan village of Khurram Agency.

20 militants were killed when US drone missiles hit a house and a speeding vehicle in Bangi Dar village in North Waziristan Agency on November 16. Also, at least seven militants were killed in a US drone strike on a militant training centre near the Afghanistan border in Ghulam Khan Village, 15 kilometers north of Miranshah, in North Waziristan Agency. Daily Times; Dawn; The News, November 9-15, 2010.

Ilyas Kashmiri plotting attacks in Germany and UK, says media report: German intelligence agents received evidence on November 17 from the United States that al Qaeda has sent two to four terrorists to Germany and United Kingdom (UK) via India and the UAE to carry out attacks. The mastermind behind the possible attacks was named as Mohammed Ilyas Kashmiri, the ‘chief’ of Harkat-ul-Jihad-al-Islami (HuJI) and a leading al Qaeda militant from Pakistan. He is alleged to be behind a bomb attack on the German Bakery in Pune (Maharashtra) in India on February 13, 2010. Kashmiri reportedly recruited the militants for the latest planned attacks in the Afghan-Pakistan border region. Indian Express, November 19, 2010.

Pakistan used terror outfits against India, says US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton: Pakistan has used terror outfits as a hedge against India, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on November 13. "They [Pakistan] have in the past hedged against both India and an unfriendly regime in Afghanistan by supporting groups that will be their proxies in trying to prevent either India or an unfriendly Afghan government from undermining their position. That is changing... Now, I cannot sit here and tell you that it has changed, but that is changing," she told ABC News in an interview the transcripts of which were released by the State Department. The Hindu, November 14, 2010.

Pakistan ranked second in terrorism risk list, says Global Analysts Maple croft’s study: While Somalia has replaced Iraq as the State most at risk from terrorist attack, Pakistan ranked second, according to a ranking by Global Analysts Maple croft, which sees threats also rising in Russia, Greece and Yemen but falling in India and Algeria. Pakistan moved up one place to become the country second most at risk, while Afghanistan slipped from second place to fourth. The index lists 16 countries as extreme risk — topped by Somalia, Pakistan, Iraq and Afghanistan and followed by the Palestinian Territories in fifth place, Colombia 6, Thailand 7, Philippines 8, Yemen 9 and Russia 10. Dawn, November 15, 2010.

Pakistan lists Kargil war dead: 11 years after the Kargil war in 1999, the Pakistan Army has included the names of 453 soldiers and officers who were killed during the conflict on its website. The 453 Pakistani soldiers are shown as killed in the Batalik-Kargil sector in Jammu and Kashmir. The names of those who died in Kargil are tucked away in a list of thousands of personnel killed while on duty posted in the Shuhada's Corner (Martyrs Corner) of the website. Several causes are cited for those who died in Kargil — "killed in action", "enemy action", "enemy firing", "enemy artillery shelling" and even "road accident". The list gives the name, rank, unit and location of death of each casualty. A majority of those who died in Kargil were soldiers from the Northern Light Infantry, a formation that was made a regular regiment of the Pakistan Army because of its performance in the 1999 conflict. It was earlier a paramilitary force formed by the amalgamation of several militias from the Northern Areas or Gilgit-Baltistan. The Hindu, November 19, 2010.

‘Osama Bin Laden funded Nawaz for elections’, claims former President Pervez Musharraf: Former President Pervez Musharraf on November 19 claimed that al Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden funded Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) chief Nawaz Sharif for taking part in the 2008 General Elections. Daily Times, November 20, 2010.


SRI LANKA

Military did not shoot surrendees during final phase of war with LTTE, says top Army officer: Major General Shavendra Silva, who was the commander of the 58th Division during the last phase of the war in 2009, told the Colombo High Court on November 15 that Sri Lanka Defence Secretary had given clear instructions to the Security Forces not to shoot any one who was surrendering to them during the final stages of the war with Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). He said military forces did not shoot at anybody who wanted to surrender. Major General Silva was called to the witness stand at the trial against former Army Commander General (retired) Sarath Fonseka, who in an interview to English weekly, had accused the Defence Secretary Gotabhaya Rajapakse of giving orders to Major General Silva to kill all the LTTE cadres wanting to surrender with white flags. Colombo Page, November 16, 2010.


The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

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