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South Asia Terrorism Portal

SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
[SAIR]

Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 17, No. 34, February 18, 2019
 
Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the South Asia Terrorism Portal.

ASSESSMENT

  • INDIA: J&K: Frittering Gains, Feeding Disruption- Ajit Kumar Singh, Nijeesh N.
  • PAKISTAN: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Anxious Peace- Tushar Ranjan Mohanty


INDIA

       Print

J&K: Frittering Gains, Feeding Disruption
Ajit Kumar Singh
Research Fellow, Institute for Conflict Management
Nijeesh N.
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

The politics of opportunism as well as the political incongruity of the Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP)-led Central Government has enormously emboldened Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), the fountainhead of terrorism in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K), as well as its proxies in the State. Indeed, these forces have discovered renewed opportunities in the political mischief and policy vacuum that currently afflicts J&K, to push the State back towards the darkness of 1990s and early-2000s.

ISI-backed terrorism in J&K was widely considered to be on its last-legs by the end of 2012 and even after, though terrorism-linked fatalities increased gradually, even as intermittent and orchestrated street violence escalated. The continuous destabilization of the State, combined with the politics of polarization that has pitted the Muslim-dominated Valley against the Hindu-dominated Jammu region, has created spaces for a resurgence of terrorism over the past years, culminating in the February 14, 2019, Pulwama Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Device (VBIED) Attack which resulted in death of 40 Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) personnel, the highest fatality figure for Security Forces (SFs) in a single attack since the commencement of the insurgency in 1988.

A VBIED attack in the state was last reported on November 2, 2005, when a suicide bomber blew up his car at Nowgam, near the private residence of, then Chief Minister Mufti Mohammad Sayeed, killing three policemen and six civilians. VBIED attacks, a devastating terror technique successfully used in Afghanistan by Pakistan-backed militants, have thus resurfaced in J&K after a hiatus of over 13 years, suggesting a potentially critical strategic shift resulting from the US’s announcement of its intention to withdraw its Forces from Afghanistan, a clear sign of US’s acceptance of its imminent defeat. The danger of an escalatory dynamic of terrorism in the State has clearly intensified.  

According to partial data compiled by the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP), J&K has recorded a total of 74 fatalities, including two civilians, 43 Security Forces (SF) personnel, and 29 militants, in terrorism-related incidents in the current year, so far (data till February 17, 2019). During the corresponding period of 2018, the State recorded 34 fatalities (six civilians, 13 SF personnel, and 15 militants). The total number of fatalities through 2018 stood at 451 (86 civilians, 95 SF personnel, and 270 militants), significantly higher than the 2017 figures, with a total of 358 fatalities (57 civilians, 83 SF personnel, and 218 militants). 267 fatalities (14 civilians, 88 SF personnel, and 165 militants) were recorded in 2016. Indeed, year-on-year fatalities have been steadily increasing since 2013, with an aberration recorded in 2015, when it dipped marginally to 174, from 193 in 2014. There were 181 fatalities in 2013. Significantly, prior to 2013, fatalities had constantly declined for 11 consecutive years between 2002 and 2012: from a peak of 4,507 fatalities in 2001 (1,067 civilians, 590 SF personnel, and 2,850 militants), down to an all-time low of 117 fatalities in 2012 (16 civilians, 17 SF personnel, and 84 militants).

Moreover, total fatalities recorded in 2018 are the highest recorded in the State since 2010, with 375 such fatalities. Worryingly, fatalities among civilians, at 86 in 2018, are also the highest recorded in this category since 2007, at 164. Civilian fatalities had dropped to an all time low of 14 in 2016. Though intensified SF operations have succeeded in eliminating increasing numbers of terrorists since 2013 [a further intensification occurred after the launch of Operation All Out in June 2017, the number of deaths among SF personnel also increased quite abruptly. 95 SF fatalities were recorded in 2018, the highest since 2007, with 121 such fatalities.

Other parameters of violence are also indicative of a deteriorating security scenario in the State. According to the SATP database, incidents of killing in 2018 increased to 205, from 163 in 2017 and 112 in 2016. Incidents of killing were in double digits, at 86, in 2015. 16 incidents of killing have already been reported in the current year. During 2018, a total of 54 major incidents (each involving three or more fatalities) were reported in the State, in which a total of 264 persons were killed. In 2017, the number of major incidents and related deaths stood at 49 and 217, respectively. Six major incidents resulting in 58 fatalities have already been recorded in the current year. Incidents of explosion have also surged – from 43 (eight killed, 96 injured) in 2017 to 71 in 2018 (seven killed, 157 injured) in 2018.  A least 18 incidents of explosion have already been reported in the State during the current year, in which 41 persons have been killed and 65 have been injured.

According to the data provided by the Union ministry of Home Affairs (UMHA), J&K recorded a total of 614 terrorism-related incidents in 2018, as against 342 such incidents in 2017. This is the highest number of incidents recorded in a year since 2008, when 708 such incidents occurred.

The geographical spread of violence has also increased. According to SATP, fatalities were reported from 16 of 22 Districts in J&K in 2018, in comparison to 15 in 2017, 12 in 2016, 14 in 2015, 13 in 2014, 14 in 2013, and 13 in 2012. At the tehsil (revenue unit)-level, fatalities were reported from 40 of 82 tehsils in 2018 as compared to 32 tehsils in 2017. Significantly, by end-2011, at least seven Districts in the State had been declared completely free of militancy. These included Leh and Kargil, which had never seen significant militancy, as well as Jammu, Samba, Kathua, Reasi and Doda. At this stage, 13 Districts, according to the State Home Ministry, had reported militancy related incidents ‘in single digits’: Budgam, Kulgam, Anantnag, Shopian, Ganderbal, Bandipora, Kishtwar, Ramban, Doda, Poonch, Rajouri, Udhampur and Jammu (Jammu recorded just one incident in the year, though it had been declared militancy free). This left just four Districts with double-digit incidence of insurgent action: Srinagar, Baramulla, Kupwara and Pulwama. In January 2012, the UMHA had asked the State Government to take measures to free more Districts from militancy through 2012. 

         

Street violence which gives a further impetus to violence by terrorist formations, has also increased through 2018. A total of 330 incidents of stone-pelting were reported from 30 tehsils in 2018, in which 50 civilians were killed and more than 936 were injured. In 2017, a total of 264 incidents of stone-pelting were reported from 30 tehsils in which 24 civilians were killed and more than 646 were injured. In 2016, 793 incidents of stone-pelting were reported from 39 tehsils in which 92 civilians were killed and more than 1,691 were injured. J&K has been witnessing a surge in street violence and stone-pelting incidents since the killing of Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM) ‘commander’ Burhan Wani on July 8, 2016, which was quickly followed by protests across the Valley. The State went under a complete lockdown for 53 days at this stage and, according to Institute for Conflict Management (ICM) data, at least 158 protestors have been killed and more than 2,935 persons injured in 1,464 such incidents since July 8, 2016 (data till February 17, 2019).

Crucially, political brinkmanship and communally polarizing mischief over the past few years, and the eventual collapse of Government in the State has increased the sense of alienation among local youth, creating expanding spaces for ISI-backed terror formations to recruit local cadre and mount operations. According to a report published on February 16, 2019, for the first time since 2000, the number of local militants killed in the Valley in 2018 was significantly higher than the number of foreign militants. The report noted that, of the 246 militants killed (total fatalities according to SATP were 270) in different encounters, 150 were local residents and 90 foreigners. In 2017, at least 80 local militants were killed as against 120 foreigners. In 2016, 30 local and 100 foreign militants were killed. An unnamed senior J&K Police officer, stated in the report that the lowest number of active militants across Kashmir was in 2013, at 78. At present, the number of active militants is estimated to be over 450.

An unnamed senior Army official stated, on February 4, 2019, that as many as 191 local youth joined various militant outfits in J&K in 2018, as against 126 in 2017; 88 in 2016; 66 in 2015; 53 in 2014; 16 in 2013; 21 in 2012; 23 in 2011; and 54 in 2010. The southern Kashmir districts of Pulwama, Shopian, Kulgam and Anantnag have become a ‘breeding ground for militants’, with many youth joining their rank and file, particularly in Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM) the Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT).

Indeed, the State appears to be hurtling towards a heightened phase of terrorism. While there has been increasing clamour for strong actions against Pakistan over the past few years, particularly after the Uri attack, and such clamour has become more strident after the February 14, 2019, Pulwama attack, what is being completely overlooked are strategies to restore internal stability and sober governance within the State.

Pakistani mischief across the International Border (IB) and Line of Control (LoC) has also escalated dramatically. According to official statistics, CFA violations have registered momentous increase in 2017 and 2018. There were 449 CFA violations in 2016, rising to 971 in 2017 and surging an alarming 2,936 in 2018, an average of eight cases daily - the highest in the past 15 years. 61 persons were killed and over 250 injured in these violations. An unnamed senior Army official disclosed,

Shelling and firing by Pakistani troops was 'very heavy' in 2018, virtually making the 2003 India-Pakistan border truce redundant. Pakistani troops repeatedly targeted forwards posts and villages along the LoC and the IB to create a fear psychosis among the people.

As SAIR has noted earlier, CFA violations are designed to help infiltrate more and more terrorists. According to UMHA, there were 222 infiltration attempts in 2015 which increased to 371 in 2016 and 419 in 2017. At least 302 infiltration attempts were reported during 2018 (data till November 30). According to India’s Multi Agency Centre (MAC), at least 69 terrorists had successfully infiltrated into J&K in the first half of 2018. In 2017, 123 terrorists had infiltrated into the State; 119 in 2016; and 35 in 2015.

Despite the provocation of the February 14 VBIED attack, any mindless adventurism across the IB or LoC will serve little purpose, other than optics that may serve the ruling party’s electoral interests. Unless there is a firm and enduring commitment to invest disproportionately in the country’s defence, internal security and, crucially, intelligence and covert action apparatus, Pakistan will persist with its proxy war against India – and will now do so with a rising sense of impunity, as it sees its campaigns succeed in Afghanistan, and as a phalanx of committed backers continue to underwrite its crumbling economy with generation aid.


PAKISTAN

      Print

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Anxious Peace
Tushar Ranjan Mohanty
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

A tribal elder, Abbas Khan, was killed in an improvised explosive device (IED) explosion in the Norak area of Mir Ali tehsil (revenue unit) in the North Waziristan District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) on February 13, 2019.Khan was on his way home when the IED hit his car.

At least four Policemen were killed and aStation House Office (SHO) was injured on February 12, 2019, in an ambush in the Maharah area of Parowa tehsil in the Dera Ismail Khan District of KP.The District Police Officer (DPO) disclosed that the Police party retaliated, but the terrorists managed to escape from the incident site.Two passers-by sustained injuries in the shootout. Hizb-ul-Ahrar (HuA), a splinter group of the Jamaat-ul-Ahrar (JuA), a faction of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), claimed responsibility for the attack.

On January 29, 2019, unidentified militants killed a Counter-Terrorism Department (CTD) staffer in Qurishian Street in the jurisdiction of the City Police Station in Dera Ismail Khan. The assailantsmanaged to escape.

According to partial data compiled by the Institute for Conflict Management (ICM), KP has accounted for at least 11 terrorism-related fatalities [two civilians, four Security Forces(SF) personnel, and five terrorists] in 2019, thus far (data till February 17, 2019). During the corresponding period of 2018, the Province had accounted for 19 terrorism-related fatalities (two civilians, 11 SF personnel, and six terrorists).

Through 2018, KP recorded a total of 181 fatalities (88 civilians, 52 SF personnel, and 41 terrorists) as against 124 such fatalities (42 civilians, 26 SF personnel and 56 terrorists) registered in 2017. KP had witnessed declining trendsin fatalities since 2013, till the renewed surge in 2018.

However, 96 of the fatalities in 2018 were reported from seven new Districts which became part of KP onMay 31, 2018, due to the merger of Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) into the Province. These seven Districts were earlier part of FATA and were called Agencies. Between June 1, 2018, and December 31, 2018, KP (excluding the newly merged areas of FATA) recorded 57 fatalities, as against 55during the same period in 2017.  

Prior to the merger, KP had accounted for 28 fatalities (16 SF personnel, six civilians, and six militants) in the first five months of 2018 as against 69 fatalities (34 militants, 24 civilians, and 11 SF personnel) in the first five months of 2017. Thus, within the original jurisdiction of KP (excluding the subsequently merged FATA region) the declining trend established since 2013, was maintained in 2018.   

According to statistics released by KP Police on June 7, 2018, only 21 terrorist incidents took place in the first five months of 2018, compared to 53 incidents in 2107, 113 incidents in 2016, and 108 incidents in 2015. Similarly, incidents of target killings dropped across the Province, and only 10 were reported in first five months of 2018, as against 29 in 2017, 77 in 2016 and 55 in 2015. Only 10 cases of extortion were reported in the first five months of 2018, while the figure was 44 cases in the same period of 2017, 67 cases in 2016, 58 cases in 2014, and 113 cases in 2015. Similarly, only three incidents of kidnapping-for-ransom were reported from across the Province in the first five months of 2018, as compared to seven in 2017,16 in 2016, and 26 in 2015. [Comparisons are for the first five months of each year].

According to KPPolice, the Province (including the newly merged areas of erstwhile FATA) recorded a total of 28 targeted killing incidents in 2018, as against 29 such cases in 2017;36 extortion cases through 2018 as against 42 cases in 2017; and registered a decrease of 16.6 per cent in cases of kidnapping-for-ransom –with five casesreported in 2018 as compared to six cases in 2017.

The improvement in the security situation in the Province has been the result of counter offensive measures undertaken by the Pakistani Forces against domestically oriented terror formations across the tribal areas of Pakistan since the Army Public School (APS) attack of December 16, 2014, at Peshawar (the capital of KP), in which 135 school children, ten school staff members, including the Principal, and three soldiers, were killed.

Security analyst and former additional chief secretary for FATA, Brigadier (Retd.) Mehmood Shah, according to a January 1, 2019, report,attributed the drop in terrorism in the Province to the Army's Operations Zarb-e-Azb('Sword of the Prophet', also 'sharp and cutting') and Radd-ul-Fasaad (RuF, Elimination of Discord). Shah observed,

This Zarb-e-Azb, followed by RuF, was the turning point which proved to be successful as militants were rooted out from their sanctuaries. Intelligence-based operations (IBOs) proved to be successful since small pockets in Kurram and Khyber tribal districts where militants had taken shelter after Zarb-e-Azb, were being raided and militants could now only escape to Afghanistan.

Despite successful operations, however, the hope of a return to peace to the area dwindled with the major suicide attack ofNovember 23, 2018, in which 33 persons, including 22 Shias and three Sikhs, were killed and more than 51 were injured near an imambargah (Shia place of worship) in the Kalaya town of Lower Orakzai District. 

Moreover, while the general populace of KP has experienced a largely improved security situation, the Aman Lashkar(Peace Committee) members, who have been the frontrunners in the Government’s war against terrorism,have been under continuous targeted attacksby the terrorists. There was a spike in such incidents and resultant fatalities in 2018, after a noticeable decline observed in 2016 and 2017, in comparison to previous years. According to partial data compiled by SATP, there were fiveincidents targeting tribal elders, resulting in the death of sevenelders across Pakistan’s tribal areas (KP and FATA). During 2017, two tribal elderswere killed in three incidents of targeted attack in the tribal areas. Through 2016, there were two such deaths in two incidents. The tribal areasrecorded 11 such incidents, resulting in 14 killings through 2015.2019 has already accounted for the killing of two tribal elders. The first incident was reported on January 19, 2019, when unidentified militants shot dead KP peace committee chief Malik Mir Alam Afridiin the Hayatabad area of Peshawar, while he was travelling from Peshawar to Bara.The second was the killing of Abbas Khan in an IED explosion in the Norak area of Mir Ali tehsilin North Waziristan District on February 13, 2019 (mentioned above).

Moreover, Policemen, who are first in the line of defence,are also targeted systematically by the militants. A Superintendent of Police (SP, Peshawar, KP), Tahir Khan Dawar, was found dead in Afghanistan on November 13, 2018, around 18 days after he was abducted by unidentified militants and whisked away to Afghanistan. Dawar left his residence inIslamabad for an evening walk on October 27, 2018, but did not return.His abductors released a picture of him along with a letter from the Khurasani faction of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), claiming responsibility for the abduction and killing.Shaukat Yusafzai, Information Minister of KP,observed that Dawar was ruthlessly killed by his abductors inAfghanistan. Out of 1,689 Policemen of KP who died with their boots on since 1970, at least 1,304 were killed during the last 13 years, after violence escalated in the Province, according to data compiled by the Central Police Office in Peshawar. The Police have been the prime victims of terrorist attacks, suicide bombings, blasts, ambushes, rocket and mortar barrages and target killingsacross Khyber Pakhtunkhwa since 2006.Those who died during the last 13 years included two Additional Inspectors General of Police (Ad IGs), two Deputy Inspectors General (DIGs), seven SPs and 19 Deputy Superintendents of Police (DSP).

Not only militancy, but governmental and departmental negligence, and corruption,have also proven fatal in the fight against militancy. The Secretary of Defence Production Lieutenant General (Retd.)Muhammad Ijaz Chaudhry,on February 12, 2019, accepted that jackets purchased for the KP Police were not bulletproof, due to which many personnel had lost their lives.He made this revelation while addressing the Senate’s Standing Committee on Defence Production, presided over by the Committee Chairman LieutenantGeneral (Retd.) Abdul Qayyum. Chaudhry informed the panel that the jackets were purchased from private organisations, but heavy losses of life were incurred since they turned out not to be bulletproof. He disclosed, further, that the Inspector General (IG) of KP Police, Malik Naveed, has been arrested in this case.

While the province has been gathering the fruits of successful operations in terms of declining terrorism and related fatalities, irritants persists, with violence disrupting tranquillity at regular intervals.

 
NEWS BRIEFS

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia 
February 11-17, 2019

 

Civilians

Security Force Personnel

Terrorists/Insurgents

Total

INDIA

 

Jammu and Kashmir

0
41
4
45

INDIA (Left-Wing Extremism)

 

Bihar

0
1
0
1

Jharkhand

0
0
1
1

Odisha

1
0
0
1

INDIA (Total)

1
42
5
48

PAKISTAN

 

Balochistan

0
6
0
6

KP

1
4
0
5

Sindh

6
1
0
7

PAKISTAN (Total)

7
11
0
18
Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.
 

AFGHANISTAN

90 Terrorists killed during joint Military Operations across the country, says Ministry of Defence: At least 90 Anti-Government militias were killed and 41 others were wounded during joint military operations led by Afghan Security Forces within the last 24 hours across the country. According to Ministry of Defense the joint military operations (Afghan Air and Artillery Force) were launched in insecure areas of Kapisa, Parwan, Ghazni, Paktia, Kandahar, Urozgan, Badghis, Farah, Sar-e-Pul, Balkh, Takhar and Helmand provinces. Bakhtar News, February 18, 2019.

Afghan Government cannot be sidelined in peace talks, says President Ashraf Ghani: President Ashraf Ghani has said that the neighbors of Afghanistan and US can talk and reach agreement with any Afghan group but his government cannot be sidelined in the process. In an interview with the BBC, Ghani said his Government is in contact with the Taliban. "There is a very simple issue. They can have any deal with any group of Afghans. The Government of Afghanistan cannot be sidelined," said President Ghani. President Ghani's remarks over having contact with the Taliban are expressed as Taliban has repeatedly refused to sit with his negotiators. Tolo News, February 18, 2019.

US-Taliban talks in Islamabad 'Postponed', says Taliban:Taliban acknowledged in a statement on February 17 that the talks between United States (US) negotiators and Taliban members in Islamabad which was supposed to be held on February 18, has been postponed. The statement said that Taliban was prepared for the talks but most negotiators the group could not attend the meeting as they are on the US and United Nations blacklist. Tolo News, February 18, 2019.

Afghans want lasting, unbreakable peace; says Afghan President Ghani: Afghan President Ashraf Ghani on February 15, said lasting peace was coming to Afghanistan instead of a temporary arrangement, adding no power in future would push the Afghans into a foreign war in the name of religion. He said on international level from the United Nations to the Organization of Islamic Countries (OIC) and others had denounced the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Pajhwok Afghan News, February 16, 2019.

'Stubborn Taliban' responsible for ongoing conflict in Afghanistan, says National Unity Government Chief Executive Abdullah Abdullah: The Chief Executive of the Government of National Unity Government Abdullah Abdullah has said the main reason behind the ongoing conflict is the 'stubbornness' of Taliban leaders. Speaking during the meeting of Council of Ministers, Abdullah said the steps which they (Taliban) have taken are for publicity and concessions, not for goodwill or for real negotiations. Admitting that compromises are needed to pave the way for further peace talks, Abdullah said it would be impossible to insist on one's own demands and expect peace as well The Khaama Press, February 11, 2019.


BANGLADESH

A divide emerges within Jamaat e-Islam's ranks over the question of apology for its role in 1971 liberation war and renaming the party: According to unnamed party insiders there is a rift between the young and senior leaders of the Jamaat-e-Islami (JeI) and the rift has widened further over renaming the party and apologising to the nation for its role during the 1971 Liberation War. Many of the party leaders born after the country's independence want the party to apologise to the nation for its anti-liberation role in 1971 and rebrand it as a pro-Bangladesh party with a new name. Daily Star, February 15, 2019..

  
INDIA

40 CRPF personnel killed in VBIED attack in Jammu and Kashmir: In the worst ever terror attack in Jammu and Kashmir, at least 40 Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) personnel were killed and around two dozen were injured in a vehicle-borne improvised explosive device (VBIED) attack carried out by suspected Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) militant at Lethpora area on Srinagar-Jammu National Highway (NH-44) in Pulwama District on February 14. A JeM Fidayeen (suicide attacker), identified as Adil Ahmad Dar alias Waqas Commando (Pulwama resident) rammed an explosive-laden car into the CRPF bus in a convoy near Lethpora in Pulwama District at around 3:15 pm leading to a huge blast in which 40 CRPF personnel were killed and around 24 other personnel sustained injuries.

Later, JeM claimed the responsibility for the attack. They also released the video of the Fidayeen (Adil Ahmad Dar), recorded before attack in which he said that he had joined "Fidayeen squad" of JeM last year (2018). He talks about attacks carried out by the JeM on troops, Parliament and hijacking of airliner. He also warned more attacks. Daily Excelsior, February 15, 2019.

Chinese PLA's cyber offensive capability still building up, states NSAB member: Member of National Security Advisory Board Lieutenant General (retd) SL Narasimhan stated that cyber budget of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) of China is "phenomenal", but their offensive capability is still building up and "they have still some way to go". He stated that 'The cyber capabilities -- though they have a huge cyber network -- the kind of report you get to see in open source is actually indicating that they still have some way to go. They may be very good at getting the cyber data etc., but the cyber offensive and defensive capability are still being questioned'. The New Indian Express, February 14, 2019.

CAB not tabled in Rajya Sabha: The citizenship Amendment Bill (CAB) 2019 was not tabled in the Rajya Sabha (upper house of Indian Parliament) on February 13 after the Government chose not to place it for discussion and passage. The Bill is set to lapse on June 3 when the term of the present Lok Sabha ends as it could not be passed in Rajya Sabha that adjourned. The Budget Session was the last Parliament session of the present Government. The Budget Session was the last Parliament session of the present government with the only option of bringing an ordinance replacing the citizenship Bill. TimesNow, February 14, 2019.

Ceasefire violations more than doubled in 2018 compared to 2017, says Government: The number of ceasefire violations or cross border firings in Jammu and Kashmir is more than doubled in 2018 compared to the previous year, while the casualties the BSF (Border Security Force) suffered in terms of death of its jawans (troopers) in these incidents increased by three times, the Government of India informed Parliament on February 12. Such incidents saw a surge in 2018 and continued unabated this year, and 219 cases of cross border firing or ceasefire violations have been reported up to January 31, meaning an average of seven incidents per day. In 2018, the number of ceasefire violations was 2,140 which led to death of 14 BSF personnel and injuries to 53 others, Minister of State for Home Hansraj Gangaram Ahir said in a written reply to Lok Sabha (Lower House of Parliament). Daily Excelsior, February 1, 2019.

'No link between ISJK and groups operating in Iraq, Syria', says Minister of State for Home Affairs, Hansraj Gangaram Ahir: Minister of State for Home Affairs, Hansraj Gangaram Ahir on February 12 said in the Lok Sabha (Lower House of Parliament) that no specific connection has surfaced between militants belonging to the Islamic State of Jammu and Kashmir (ISJK), an outfit influenced by ISIS ideology, and the groups operating in Iraq and Syria. "It has been reported that seven local youths have joined ISJK through self-proclamation. Out of these, four militants were killed on 22 June 2018 at Khiram Srigufawara, Anantnag, two were arrested and one is presently active in the valley," the Minister said. Greater Kashmir, February 13, 2019.

 
 
PAKISTAN

Pakistan freed Baradar at US request, says US special envoy Zalmay Khalilzad: Prime Minister (PM) Imran Khan on February 12 reiterated commitment to bring enduring peace and stability in Pakistan while supporting all peace initiatives for the regional peace. In a meeting with General (retd) Raheel Sharif, Commander-in-Chief of Islamic Military Counter-Terrorism Coalition (IMCTC), Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, who called on him at the PM Office, the PM also emphasized upon the need for greater regional cooperation to eradicate violence and extremism. During the meeting, regional security environment and efforts for peace and stability were discussed. Daily Times, February 9, 2019.

 
SRI LANKA

Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe proposes 'Truth and Reconciliation Commission' in Sri Lanka: Ahead of the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) session in March, Sri Lankan Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe on February 12 presented a Cabinet memorandum seeking approval to establish a Truth and Reconciliation Commission, similar to what was established in post-apartheid South Africa. The commission will give the opportunity to those accused of war crimes to confess to their wrongdoings. According to the memorandum, no criminal liability will arise from the commission's findings. Daily Mirror , February 13, 2019.

For assessments on other South Asian countries and for daily news updates on terrorism visit
South Asia Terrorism Portal 
 

The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal

 
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